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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5914
2025 WNBA Semifinals: Guaranteed Rare
Rare3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$40.77
Actual EV
—
≈ $20.48 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $40.77
Typical Pull
$1.56
Grail premium $18.92 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $40.77
FMV coverage
100%
15 editions
Depletion
98%
live pool
Packs remaining
12
of 600 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 2h ago2.0%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
Rare15 / 900 (1.7%)
Common21 / 899 (2.3%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 2h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 15 / 900 | 42% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 21 / 899 | 58% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 15 of 15 (100%)A'ja Wilson
2025 WNBA Semifinals
RARE7
FMV
$22.14
Floor
$19.00
Mint 174
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.083
Courtney Williams
2025 WNBA Semifinals
RARE7
FMV
$21.67
Floor
$13.00
Mint 174
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.083
Kelsey Mitchell
2025 WNBA Semifinals
RARE7
FMV
$19.00
Floor
$17.00
Mint 174
Hit 8.33%Wt 0.25
Alyssa Thomas
2025 WNBA Semifinals
RARE7
FMV
$17.80
Floor
$13.00
Mint 174
Hit 5.56%Wt 0.167
Satou Sabally
2025 WNBA Semifinals
RARE7
FMV
$15.21
Floor
$16.90
Mint 174
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.083
Jackie Young
2025 WNBA Semifinals
RARE7
FMV
$14.50
Floor
$12.00
Mint 174
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.083
Kahleah Copper
2025 WNBA Semifinals
RARE7
FMV
$12.07
Floor
$10.00
Mint 174
Hit 8.33%Wt 0.25
Kayla McBride
2025 WNBA Semifinals
RARE7
FMV
$11.37
Floor
$9.00
Mint 174
Hit 8.33%Wt 0.25
Natasha Mack
2025 WNBA Playoffs
COMMON7
FMV
$0.73
Floor
$0.34
Mint 2,025
Hit 5.56%Wt 0.167
Bridget Carleton
2025 WNBA Playoffs
COMMON7
FMV
$0.52
Floor
$0.25
Mint 2,125
Hit 5.56%Wt 0.167
Shey Peddy
2025 WNBA Playoffs
COMMON7
FMV
$0.47
Floor
$0.30
Mint 2,125
Hit 11.11%Wt 0.333
DeWanna Bonner
2025 WNBA Playoffs
COMMON7
FMV
$0.41
Floor
$0.35
Mint 2,125
Hit 13.89%Wt 0.417
Jewell Loyd
2025 WNBA Playoffs
COMMON7
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.33
Mint 2,125
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.083
Natasha Howard
2025 WNBA Playoffs
COMMON7
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.35
Mint 2,125
Hit 11.11%Wt 0.333
Alanna Smith
2025 WNBA Playoffs
COMMON7
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.30
Mint 2,125
Hit 8.33%Wt 0.25