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NBA Top Shot · Pack #599
Throwdowns (Series 2)
Rare6 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$32.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $40.65 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $32.00
Typical Pull
$36.00
Grail premium $4.65 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (98% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $32.00
FMV coverage
100%
35 editions
Depletion
98%
live pool
Packs remaining
1,341
of 79,759 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 20h ago1.7%unopened
Rare1,352 / 79,753 (1.7%)
Common11,988 / 396,674 (3.0%)
Pull odds by tier
6 slots/pack · as of 20h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 1,352 / 79,753 | 10% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 11,988 / 396,674 | 90% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 6 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 35 of 35 (100%)Anthony Edwards
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$19.46
Floor
$17.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 3.58%Wt 0.025
Isaiah Stewart
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$9.67
Floor
$7.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 3.36%Wt 0.024
James Wiseman
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$8.47
Floor
$7.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 3.36%Wt 0.024
Karl-Anthony Towns
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$8.43
Floor
$5.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 2.63%Wt 0.019
Kawhi Leonard
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$8.13
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 3.15%Wt 0.022
Paul George
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$8.08
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 3.05%Wt 0.022
Kenyon Martin Jr.
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$7.89
Floor
$7.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 2.84%Wt 0.02
Isaac Okoro
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$7.88
Floor
$7.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 2.42%Wt 0.017
Aaron Gordon
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$7.14
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 5.15%Wt 0.037
Terry Rozier
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$7.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 3.47%Wt 0.025
Robert Williams III
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$6.78
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 2.84%Wt 0.02
Rui Hachimura
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$6.50
Floor
$5.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 3.15%Wt 0.022
Xavier Tillman
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$6.40
Floor
$6.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 3.05%Wt 0.022
Ja Morant
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$6.33
Floor
$5.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 2.84%Wt 0.02
Keldon Johnson
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$6.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 3.79%Wt 0.027
Deandre Ayton
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$5.67
Floor
$5.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 3.89%Wt 0.028
Kevin Porter Jr.
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$5.67
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 2.94%Wt 0.021
Chimezie Metu
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$5.33
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 3.36%Wt 0.024
Joel Embiid
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$5.33
Floor
$5.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 3.26%Wt 0.023
John Collins
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$5.32
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 3.26%Wt 0.023
De'Aaron Fox
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$5.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 3.68%Wt 0.026
Kristaps Porziņģis
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$4.78
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 3.47%Wt 0.025
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$4.70
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 3.26%Wt 0.023
Darius Bazley
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$4.33
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 3.68%Wt 0.026