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NBA Top Shot · Pack #6038
Anthology: Guaranteed Rare
Rare2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$395
Actual EV
—
≈ $75.04 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 94% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $395 ask
Typical Pull
$43.00
Grail premium $32.04 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 94% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $395 ask
FMV coverage
100%
8 editions
Depletion
94%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
6
of 99 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago6.1%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 1.0
Legendary1 / 10 (10%)
17 per 100 sealed packs · launch 10 · 1.7× launch rate
Rare11 / 187 (5.9%)
183 per 100 sealed packs · launch 189 · ≈ launch rate
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 1 / 10 | 8.3% | ~1 in 6 |
| Rare | 11 / 187 | 92% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 8 of 8 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Steph Curry
Reel · Jan 4, 2021
The Anthology: Steph Curry
LEGENDARYSeries 4
FMV
$311
Recent Low
$464
Mint 62
Hit 8.33%Wt 0.083
Kevin Durant
3 Pointer · Dec 30, 2011
The Anthology: Kevin Durant
RARESeries 4
FMV
$21.50
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 199
Hit 41.67%Wt 0.417
Jaylen Brown
Dunk · Nov 30, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 8.33%Wt 0.083
Jaylen Brown
Steal · Apr 23, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$8.75
Mint 299
Hit 8.33%Wt 0.083
Mark Williams
Block · Mar 20, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 8.33%Wt 0.083
Sandro Mamukelashvili
Reel · Mar 20, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 8.33%Wt 0.083
Aaron Nesmith
3 Pointer · May 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.25
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 8.33%Wt 0.083
Obi Toppin
Reel · Jun 12, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$11.25
Mint 299
Hit 8.33%Wt 0.083