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NBA Top Shot · Pack #625
Rookie Debut: Headliners (Live) Web
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$75.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $35.47 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $75.00
Typical Pull
$1.55
Grail premium $33.92 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $75.00
FMV coverage
100%
21 editions
Depletion
96%
live pool
Packs remaining
106
of 2,445 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 15h ago4.3%unopened
Common530 / 12,225 (4.3%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 15h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 530 / 12,225 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 21 of 21 (100%)Victor Wembanyama
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$156
Floor
$146
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.58%Wt 0.179
Chet Holmgren
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$9.84
Floor
$9.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.96%Wt 0.198
Amen Thompson
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$9.55
Floor
$8.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.40%Wt 0.17
Brandon Miller
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$8.90
Floor
$8.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.104
Ausar Thompson
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$5.48
Floor
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.58%Wt 0.179
Scoot Henderson
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$3.14
Floor
$3.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.40%Wt 0.17
D'Angelo Russell
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.78
Floor
$0.87
Mint 8,500
Hit 5.09%Wt 0.255
Jonathan Isaac
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.66
Floor
$0.44
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.77%Wt 0.189
Duncan Robinson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.63
Floor
$0.22
Mint 8,500
Hit 3.58%Wt 0.179
Nikola Jokić
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.56
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 6.42%Wt 0.321
Andre Drummond
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.28%Wt 0.264
Ivica Zubac
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.91%Wt 0.245
Scottie Barnes
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 6.98%Wt 0.349
Dwight Powell
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.42%Wt 0.321
Corey Kispert
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.28
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.77%Wt 0.189
Jae Crowder
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.85%Wt 0.292
CJ McCollum
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,500
Hit 5.28%Wt 0.264
Kevon Looney
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.22
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.53%Wt 0.226
Josh Okogie
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.66%Wt 0.283
Harrison Barnes
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.22
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.85%Wt 0.292
Cam Thomas
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.16
Mint 8,500
Hit 6.60%Wt 0.33