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NBA Top Shot · Pack #627
Rookie Debut: Headliners (Live) App
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$84.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $32.54 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $84.00
Typical Pull
$1.60
Grail premium $30.94 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $84.00
FMV coverage
100%
21 editions
Depletion
95%
live pool
Packs remaining
114
of 2,445 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 21h ago4.7%unopened
Common570 / 12,225 (4.7%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 21h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 570 / 12,225 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 21 of 21 (100%)Victor Wembanyama
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$156
Floor
$146
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.16%Wt 0.158
Chet Holmgren
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$9.84
Floor
$9.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.16%Wt 0.158
Amen Thompson
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$9.55
Floor
$8.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.16%Wt 0.158
Brandon Miller
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$8.90
Floor
$8.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.21%Wt 0.211
Ausar Thompson
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$5.48
Floor
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.51%Wt 0.175
Scoot Henderson
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$3.14
Floor
$3.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.81%Wt 0.14
D'Angelo Russell
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.78
Floor
$0.87
Mint 8,500
Hit 4.04%Wt 0.202
Jonathan Isaac
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.66
Floor
$0.44
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.96%Wt 0.298
Duncan Robinson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.63
Floor
$0.22
Mint 8,500
Hit 5.79%Wt 0.289
Nikola Jokić
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.56
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 8.07%Wt 0.404
Andre Drummond
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.86%Wt 0.193
Ivica Zubac
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.26%Wt 0.263
Scottie Barnes
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 5.09%Wt 0.254
Corey Kispert
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.28
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.79%Wt 0.289
Dwight Powell
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.09%Wt 0.254
CJ McCollum
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,500
Hit 6.14%Wt 0.307
Jae Crowder
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.26%Wt 0.263
Kevon Looney
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.22
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.09%Wt 0.254
Josh Okogie
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.68%Wt 0.184
Harrison Barnes
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.22
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.04%Wt 0.202
Cam Thomas
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.16
Mint 8,500
Hit 6.84%Wt 0.342