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NBA Top Shot · Pack #627
Rookie Debut: Headliners (Live) App
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$84.99
Actual EV
—
≈ $30.15 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $84.99 ask
Typical Pull
$1.15
Grail premium $29.00 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $84.99 ask
FMV coverage
100%
21 editions
Depletion
95%
pool · as of 6h ago
Packs remaining
114
of 2,445 minted · as of 6h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 6h ago4.7%unopened
Common570 / 12,225 (4.7%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 6h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 570 / 12,225 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 21 of 21 (100%)Victor Wembanyama
3 Pointer · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$141
Recent Low
$135
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.16%Wt 0.032
Amen Thompson
Dunk · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.16%Wt 0.032
Brandon Miller
3 Pointer · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$9.79
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.21%Wt 0.042
Chet Holmgren
Jump Shot · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.16%Wt 0.032
Ausar Thompson
Block · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.99
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.51%Wt 0.035
Scoot Henderson
Jump Shot · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.74
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.81%Wt 0.028
Jonathan Isaac
Block · Oct 25, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.96%Wt 0.06
Nikola Jokić
Hook Shot · Oct 24, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.37
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 8.07%Wt 0.081
Scottie Barnes
Block · Oct 25, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.09%Wt 0.051
Dwight Powell
3 Pointer · Oct 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.12
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.09%Wt 0.051
Harrison Barnes
Dunk · Oct 26, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.04%Wt 0.04
Andre Drummond
Handles · Oct 26, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.86%Wt 0.039
Duncan Robinson
Layup · Oct 25, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.12
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.79%Wt 0.058
Jae Crowder
3 Pointer · Oct 26, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.13
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.26%Wt 0.053
D'Angelo Russell
Layup · Oct 27, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.13
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.04%Wt 0.04
Corey Kispert
3 Pointer · Oct 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.79%Wt 0.058
Josh Okogie
3 Pointer · Oct 25, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.68%Wt 0.037
Ivica Zubac
Block · Oct 26, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.12
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.26%Wt 0.053
Cam Thomas
Jump Shot · Oct 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.84%Wt 0.068
CJ McCollum
Handles · Oct 26, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.14%Wt 0.061
Kevon Looney
Handles · Oct 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.13
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.09%Wt 0.051
