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NBA Top Shot · Pack #628
Rookie Debut: Headliners Rip App
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$15.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.16 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $15.00
Typical Pull
$1.50
Grail premium $0.66 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $15.00
FMV coverage
100%
32 editions
Depletion
96%
live pool
Packs remaining
327
of 9,227 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 15h ago3.5%unopened
Common1,666 / 46,134 (3.6%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 15h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 1,666 / 46,134 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 32 of 32 (100%)Chet Holmgren
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$9.84
Floor
$9.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.012
Amen Thompson
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$9.55
Floor
$8.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.18%Wt 0.009
Brandon Miller
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$8.90
Floor
$8.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.015
Ausar Thompson
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$5.48
Floor
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.18%Wt 0.009
Scoot Henderson
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$3.14
Floor
$3.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.36%Wt 0.018
D'Angelo Russell
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.78
Floor
$0.87
Mint 8,500
Hit 3.78%Wt 0.193
Jonathan Isaac
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.66
Floor
$0.44
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.42%Wt 0.174
Duncan Robinson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.63
Floor
$0.22
Mint 8,500
Hit 4.14%Wt 0.211
Nikola Jokić
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.56
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 2.94%Wt 0.15
Kelly Olynyk
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.43
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.90%Wt 0.199
Andre Drummond
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.94%Wt 0.15
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 4.98%Wt 0.254
Ivica Zubac
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.18%Wt 0.162
Scottie Barnes
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 4.02%Wt 0.205
Luguentz Dort
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 3.30%Wt 0.168
Cade Cunningham
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 4.50%Wt 0.229
Dwight Powell
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.42%Wt 0.174
Caris LeVert
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,500
Hit 4.26%Wt 0.217
Joel Embiid
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.22
Mint 8,500
Hit 4.26%Wt 0.217
CJ McCollum
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,500
Hit 3.66%Wt 0.187
Trae Young
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,500
Hit 4.80%Wt 0.245
Isaiah Hartenstein
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.68%Wt 0.239
Terry Rozier
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.22
Mint 8,500
Hit 4.02%Wt 0.205
Aaron Nesmith
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.78%Wt 0.193