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NBA Top Shot · Pack #628

Rookie Debut: Headliners Rip App

Common5 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$15.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

2,610

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

13,050

from opened packs

Realized pull value

—

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

—

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Chet Holmgren · Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.24%	$8.66	6.9%
Brandon Miller · Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.30%	$6.85	6.9%
Jonathan Isaac · Base Set	COMMON	3.42%	$0.54	6.2%
Nikola Jokić · Base Set	COMMON	2.94%	$0.62	6.1%
Amen Thompson · Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.18%	$8.50	5.1%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $15.00 · 8mo agoRetail $15.002,626 sales

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$15.00

Actual EV

—

≈ $1.83 ceiling · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical

Typical Pull

$1.30

Grail premium $0.53 — lottery-shaped

Value ratio

—

EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical

FMV coverage

100%

32 editions

Depletion

96%

pool · as of 24d ago

Packs remaining

327

of 9,227 minted · as of 24d ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 24d ago

3.5%unopened

327 / 9,227 packs

Common1,666 / 46,134 (3.6%)

Pull odds by tier

5 slots/pack · as of 24d ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Common	1,666 / 46,134	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 32 of 32 (100%)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 32

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Chet Holmgren	Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.00%	$8.66	<$0.01
Brandon Miller	Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.00%	$6.85	<$0.01
Jonathan Isaac	Base Set	COMMON	0.05%	$0.54	<$0.01
Nikola Jokić	Base Set	COMMON	0.05%	$0.62	<$0.01
Amen Thompson	Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.00%	$8.50	<$0.01
Scoot Henderson	Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.01%	$3.30	<$0.01
Jaylen Brown	Base Set	COMMON	0.08%	$0.20	<$0.01
D'Angelo Russell	Base Set	COMMON	0.06%	$0.25	<$0.01
Aaron Nesmith	Base Set	COMMON	0.06%	$0.25	<$0.01
Luguentz Dort	Base Set	COMMON	0.05%	$0.28	<$0.01

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/28/2026, 9:31:30 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.