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NBA Top Shot · Pack #640
Rookie Debut: Headliners Rip Trade Ticket
Common
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$29.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.40 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $29.00
Typical Pull
$0.30
Grail premium $0.10 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $29.00
FMV coverage
100%
27 editions
Depletion
95%
live pool
Packs remaining
27
of 500 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 13h ago5.4%unopened
Common135 / 2,500 (5.4%)
Pull odds by tier
per pack · as of 13h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 135 / 2,500 | 100% | — |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 27 of 27 (100%)Brandon Miller
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$8.90
Floor
$8.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.74%Wt 0.037
D'Angelo Russell
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.78
Floor
$0.87
Mint 8,500
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.185
Duncan Robinson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.63
Floor
$0.22
Mint 8,500
Hit 2.96%Wt 0.148
Nikola Jokić
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.56
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 2.96%Wt 0.148
Kelly Olynyk
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.43
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.93%Wt 0.296
Andre Drummond
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.222
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 5.93%Wt 0.296
Ivica Zubac
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.185
Devin Vassell
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 5.93%Wt 0.296
Scottie Barnes
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 2.96%Wt 0.148
Luguentz Dort
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 2.22%Wt 0.111
Cade Cunningham
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.222
Corey Kispert
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.28
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.96%Wt 0.148
Dwight Powell
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.22%Wt 0.111
Kevon Looney
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.22
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.19%Wt 0.259
Caris LeVert
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,500
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.222
Joel Embiid
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.22
Mint 8,500
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.222
CJ McCollum
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,500
Hit 2.96%Wt 0.148
Trae Young
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,500
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.222
Isaiah Hartenstein
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.93%Wt 0.296
Josh Okogie
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.185
Harrison Barnes
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.22
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.185
Terry Rozier
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.22
Mint 8,500
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.222
Aaron Nesmith
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.96%Wt 0.148