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NBA Top Shot · Pack #641
Rookie Debut: Fresh Five (Release 1) Pre-Sale
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$75.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $20.64 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 93% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $75.00 ask
Typical Pull
$4.95
Grail premium $15.69 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 93% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $75.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
19 editions
Depletion
93%
pool · as of 5h ago
Packs remaining
401
of 6,049 minted · as of 5h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 5h ago6.6%unopened
Common2,004 / 30,217 (6.6%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 5h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 2,004 / 30,217 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 19 of 19 (100%)Victor Wembanyama
3 Pointer · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$141
Recent Low
$135
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.40%Wt 0.014
Amen Thompson
Dunk · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.90%Wt 0.019
Brandon Miller
3 Pointer · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$9.79
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.018
Keyonte George
Layup · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 7.29%Wt 0.073
Chet Holmgren
Jump Shot · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.65%Wt 0.016
Ausar Thompson
Block · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.50
Recent Low
$4.99
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.55%Wt 0.015
Scoot Henderson
Jump Shot · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.74
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.70%Wt 0.017
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
Layup · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$2.20
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 8.08%Wt 0.081
Cason Wallace
Jump Shot · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 6.14%Wt 0.061
Dereck Lively II
Dunk · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$1.50
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.99%Wt 0.06
Gradey Dick
Assist · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 6.09%Wt 0.061
Jarace Walker
Steal · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.94%Wt 0.059
Marcus Sasser
3 Pointer · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.99
Recent Low
$0.95
Mint 4,000
Hit 7.24%Wt 0.072
Trayce Jackson-Davis
Dunk · Oct 31, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 7.49%Wt 0.075
Mouhamed Gueye
Steal · Oct 29, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.70
Recent Low
$0.44
Mint 4,000
Hit 7.19%Wt 0.072
Jalen Pickett
Jump Shot · Oct 24, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 7.98%Wt 0.08
Kobe Brown
3 Pointer · Oct 30, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 4,000
Hit 7.58%Wt 0.076
Jordan Hawkins
3 Pointer · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.35
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.79%Wt 0.058
Colby Jones
Layup · Nov 2, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.53
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 4,000
Hit 7.19%Wt 0.072