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NBA Top Shot · Pack #641

Rookie Debut: Fresh Five (Release 1) Pre-Sale

Common5 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$89.99] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

2,336

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

11,680

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$0.00

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.00

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Victor Wembanyama · Rookie Debut	COMMON	1.44%	$156	54.5%
Keyonte George · Rookie Debut	COMMON	7.30%	$5.91	10.5%
Amen Thompson · Rookie Debut	COMMON	1.89%	$9.61	4.4%
Brandon Miller · Rookie Debut	COMMON	1.84%	$8.90	4.0%
Chet Holmgren · Rookie Debut	COMMON	1.64%	$9.84	3.9%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $79.00 · 4mo agoRetail $89.992,362 sales

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$89.99

Actual EV

—

≈ $20.58 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (93% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $89.99

Typical Pull

$5.50

Grail premium $15.08 — lottery-shaped

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (93% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $89.99

FMV coverage

100%

19 editions

Depletion

93%

live pool

Packs remaining

403

of 6,049 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 18h ago

6.7%unopened

403 / 6,049 packs

Common2,014 / 30,217 (6.7%)

Pull odds by tier

5 slots/pack · as of 18h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Common	2,014 / 30,217	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 19 of 19 (100%)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 19

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Victor Wembanyama	Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.02%	$156	$0.14
Keyonte George	Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.09%	$5.91	$0.03
Amen Thompson	Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.02%	$9.61	$0.01
Brandon Miller	Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.02%	$8.90	$0.01
Chet Holmgren	Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.02%	$9.84	$0.01
Gradey Dick	Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.08%	$1.64	$0.01
Dereck Lively II	Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.07%	$1.58	$0.01
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.10%	$1.11	$0.01
Trayce Jackson-Davis	Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.09%	$1.21	$0.01
Ausar Thompson	Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.02%	$5.48	$0.01

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 7:43:08 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.