What's your collection worth?Free, no signup. Total FMV + your top moments.
NBA Top Shot · Pack #643
Boston Celtics Pack
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$3.75
Actual EV
$1.09
Net −$2.66 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (89% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.75
Typical Pull
$0.96
Grail premium $0.13 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
0.29x
-70.9% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (89% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.75
FMV coverage
100%
33 editions
Depletion
89%
live pool
Packs remaining
530
of 4,702 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 6h ago11%unopened
Rare2 / 23 (8.7%)
Common1,582 / 14,083 (11%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 6h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 2 / 23 | 0.1% | ~1 in 264 |
| Common | 1,582 / 14,083 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 33 of 33 (100%)Jaylen Brown
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$11.00
Floor
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.002
Jayson Tatum
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$8.88
Floor
$6.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.002
Payton Pritchard
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$7.44
Floor
$7.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.002
Danny Ainge
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMON5
FMV
$0.73
Floor
$0.25
Mint 5,000
Hit 0.87%Wt 0.021
Jayson Tatum
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.61
Floor
$0.35
Mint 35,000
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.017
Payton Pritchard
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.60
Floor
$0.25
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.11%Wt 0.026
Al Horford
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.51
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 14.34%Wt 0.342
Al Horford
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.38
Floor
$0.24
Mint 4,500
Hit 0.40%Wt 0.009
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.25
Mint 9,500
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.015
Derrick White
Fresh Threads
COMMON4
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.30
Mint 11,111
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.015
Jaylen Brown
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMON4
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 0.79%Wt 0.019
Jayson Tatum
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 3.88%Wt 0.092
Jae Crowder
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 20.44%Wt 0.487
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.28
Mint 8,500
Hit 9.67%Wt 0.23
Jayson Tatum
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMON4
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 1.58%Wt 0.038
Derrick White
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 16,000
Hit 4.36%Wt 0.104
Tyler Zeller
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 19.97%Wt 0.475
Jayson Tatum
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.29
Mint 9,999
Hit 2.14%Wt 0.051
Sam Hauser
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.06%Wt 0.049
Al Horford
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.23
Mint 16,000
Hit 3.96%Wt 0.094
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.15
Mint 40,000
Hit 2.85%Wt 0.068
Jaylen Brown
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 35,000
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.011
Jayson Tatum
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.10
Mint 40,000
Hit 3.01%Wt 0.072
Payton Pritchard
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.04%Wt 0.096