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NBA Top Shot · Pack #643
Boston Celtics Pack
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$3.47
Actual EV
$0.75
Net −$2.72 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 89% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.47 ask
Typical Pull
$0.66
Grail premium $0.09 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
0.22x
-78.4% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 89% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.47 ask
FMV coverage
100%
39 editions
Depletion
89%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
527
of 4,702 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago11%unopened
Rare2 / 23 (8.7%)
0.38 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.49 · 0.8× launch rate
Common1,579 / 14,083 (11%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 2 / 23 | 0.1% | ~1 in 264 |
| Common | 1,579 / 14,083 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 39 of 39 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Jaylen Brown
3 Pointer · Jan 20, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$8.78
Recent Low
$9.75
Mint 399
Hit 0.06%Wt 0.001
Jayson Tatum
3 Pointer · Feb 26, 2023
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.06%Wt 0.001
Payton Pritchard
3 Pointer · Dec 24, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.06%Wt 0.001
Jaylen Brown
3 Pointer · Oct 30, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.75
Mint 500
Hit 2.91%Wt 0.029
Danny Ainge
3 Pointer · Jun 11, 1987
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.43
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 5,000
Hit 0.70%Wt 0.007
Derrick White
Assist · Feb 13, 2022
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.41
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 11,111
Hit 0.51%Wt 0.005
Derrick White
Block · Jan 6, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.48%Wt 0.035
Jae Crowder
3 Pointer · Apr 14, 2015
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 4,500
Hit 16.26%Wt 0.163
Jaylen Brown
3 Pointer · Oct 30, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.13
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.74%Wt 0.047
Payton Pritchard
Handles · Feb 26, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 60,000
Hit 4.24%Wt 0.042
Jayson Tatum
Handles · Feb 16, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.10%Wt 0.031
Jaylen Brown
Handles · Apr 16, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 40,000
Hit 2.28%Wt 0.023
Payton Pritchard
Layup · Jan 7, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 40,000
Hit 0.89%Wt 0.009
Tyler Zeller
Layup · Mar 5, 2015
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 4,500
Hit 15.94%Wt 0.159
Jayson Tatum
Handles · Nov 1, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 11.76%Wt 0.118
Al Horford
Assist · Mar 2, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.14
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.16%Wt 0.032
Jayson Tatum
3 Pointer · Apr 30, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.14
Mint 40,000
Hit 2.40%Wt 0.024
Derrick White
Jump Shot · May 28, 2022
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,250
Hit 0.89%Wt 0.009
Jayson Tatum
Dunk · Jan 23, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.14
Mint 9,999
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.017
Al Horford
3 Pointer · Nov 16, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 8,000
Hit 11.45%Wt 0.114
Jayson Tatum
Layup · May 13, 2022
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.12
Mint 8,500
Hit 1.26%Wt 0.013
Al Horford
Dunk · Nov 4, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.91%Wt 0.029
Payton Pritchard
Assist · Nov 11, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.16
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.032
Sam Hauser
3 Pointer · Nov 5, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.15
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.64%Wt 0.016