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NBA Top Shot · Pack #645
Rookie Debut: Fresh Five (Release 1) App
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$165
Actual EV
—
≈ $20.93 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $165
Typical Pull
$4.85
Grail premium $16.08 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $165
FMV coverage
100%
19 editions
Depletion
97%
live pool
Packs remaining
27
of 1,002 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 16h ago2.7%unopened
Common135 / 5,006 (2.7%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 16h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 135 / 5,006 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 19 of 19 (100%)Victor Wembanyama
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$156
Floor
$146
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.48%Wt 0.074
Chet Holmgren
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$9.84
Floor
$9.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.96%Wt 0.148
Amen Thompson
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$9.55
Floor
$8.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.48%Wt 0.074
Brandon Miller
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$8.90
Floor
$8.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.48%Wt 0.074
Keyonte George
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$6.04
Floor
$5.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.19%Wt 0.259
Ausar Thompson
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$5.48
Floor
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.96%Wt 0.148
Scoot Henderson
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$3.14
Floor
$3.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.96%Wt 0.148
Gradey Dick
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.64
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.19%Wt 0.259
Dereck Lively II
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.58
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.222
Cason Wallace
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.23
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.19%Wt 0.259
Trayce Jackson-Davis
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.21
Floor
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.222
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.11
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 8.89%Wt 0.444
Jarace Walker
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.97
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.93%Wt 0.296
Marcus Sasser
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.83
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 9.63%Wt 0.481
Mouhamed Gueye
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.72
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 8.15%Wt 0.407
Jordan Hawkins
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.67
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.93%Wt 0.296
Colby Jones
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.62
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 11.11%Wt 0.556
Kobe Brown
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.62
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 7.41%Wt 0.37
Jalen Pickett
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.56
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.19%Wt 0.259