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NBA Top Shot · Pack #645
Rookie Debut: Fresh Five (Release 1) App
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$165
Actual EV
—
≈ $20.92 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $165 ask
Typical Pull
$4.50
Grail premium $16.42 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $165 ask
FMV coverage
100%
19 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 10h ago
Packs remaining
27
of 1,002 minted · as of 10h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 10h ago2.7%unopened
Common135 / 5,006 (2.7%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 10h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 135 / 5,006 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 19 of 19 (100%)Victor Wembanyama
3 Pointer · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$141
Recent Low
$135
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.48%Wt 0.015
Amen Thompson
Dunk · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.48%Wt 0.015
Brandon Miller
3 Pointer · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$9.79
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.48%Wt 0.015
Keyonte George
Layup · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.19%Wt 0.052
Chet Holmgren
Jump Shot · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.96%Wt 0.03
Ausar Thompson
Block · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.50
Recent Low
$4.99
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.96%Wt 0.03
Scoot Henderson
Jump Shot · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.74
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.96%Wt 0.03
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
Layup · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$2.20
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 8.89%Wt 0.089
Cason Wallace
Jump Shot · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.19%Wt 0.052
Dereck Lively II
Dunk · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$1.50
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.044
Jarace Walker
Steal · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.93%Wt 0.059
Gradey Dick
Assist · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.19%Wt 0.052
Marcus Sasser
3 Pointer · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.90
Recent Low
$0.95
Mint 4,000
Hit 9.63%Wt 0.096
Trayce Jackson-Davis
Dunk · Oct 31, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.044
Mouhamed Gueye
Steal · Oct 29, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.70
Recent Low
$0.44
Mint 4,000
Hit 8.15%Wt 0.081
Kobe Brown
3 Pointer · Oct 30, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 4,000
Hit 7.41%Wt 0.074
Jordan Hawkins
3 Pointer · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.35
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.93%Wt 0.059
Jalen Pickett
Jump Shot · Oct 24, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.19%Wt 0.052
Colby Jones
Layup · Nov 2, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.53
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 4,000
Hit 11.11%Wt 0.111
