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NBA Top Shot · Pack #646

Rookie Debut: Fresh Five (Release 1) Web

Common5 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$90.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

367

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

1,835

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$0.00

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.00

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Victor Wembanyama · Rookie Debut	COMMON	1.43%	$160	59.5%
Keyonte George · Rookie Debut	COMMON	5.24%	$5.08	6.9%
Chet Holmgren · Rookie Debut	COMMON	2.38%	$8.66	5.4%
Brandon Miller · Rookie Debut	COMMON	1.91%	$6.85	3.4%
Amen Thompson · Rookie Debut	COMMON	1.43%	$8.50	3.2%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $149 · 2y agoRetail $90.00364 sales

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$90.00

Actual EV

—

≈ $19.30 ceiling · EV last computed 25 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical

Typical Pull

$5.00

Grail premium $14.30 — lottery-shaped

Value ratio

—

EV last computed 25 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical

FMV coverage

100%

19 editions

Depletion

96%

pool · as of 24d ago

Packs remaining

of 1,002 minted · as of 24d ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 24d ago

4.3%unopened

43 / 1,002 packs

Common210 / 5,007 (4.2%)

Pull odds by tier

5 slots/pack · as of 24d ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Common	210 / 5,007	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 19 of 19 (100%)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 19

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Victor Wembanyama	Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.16%	$160	$1.30
Keyonte George	Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.59%	$5.08	$0.15
Chet Holmgren	Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.27%	$8.66	$0.12
Brandon Miller	Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.22%	$6.85	$0.07
Amen Thompson	Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.16%	$8.50	$0.07
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	Rookie Debut	COMMON	1.19%	$1.00	$0.06
Dereck Lively II	Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.70%	$1.55	$0.05
Gradey Dick	Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.59%	$1.50	$0.04
Marcus Sasser	Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.92%	$0.92	$0.04
Cason Wallace	Rookie Debut	COMMON	0.65%	$1.29	$0.04

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/27/2026, 4:55:51 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.