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NBA Top Shot · Pack #6464

Tyrese Maxey Top Shot This

Fandom1 slot

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Value still sealed≈ $8.65/pack▼ 49% below the $17.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (87% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $17.00Typical pull ≈ $8.65 · value evenly spread

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$17.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

167

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

167

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$125

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$9.59

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Tyrese Maxey · Top Shot This	FANDOM	100.00%	$8.65	100.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $16.00 (90d)Last $16.00 · 3mo agoRetail $17.00160 sales · 1 in 90d

trades ~0.94× retail

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$17.00

Actual EV

$8.65

Net −$8.35 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (87% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $17.00

Typical Pull

$8.65

Median pull ≈ Actual EV — value evenly spread

Value ratio

0.51x

-49.1% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (87% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $17.00

FMV coverage

100%

1 editions

Depletion

87%

live pool

Packs remaining

185

of 1,441 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 15h ago

13%unopened

185 / 1,441 packs

Fandom184 / 1,374 (13%)

Pull odds by tier

1 slots/pack · as of 15h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Fandom	184 / 1,374	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 1 of 1 (100%)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

Top purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@cmnkb8	$17.00	41d ago
@WhatMeWorry	$17.00	70d ago
@Squad916	$16.00	74d ago
@wjf	$14.00	91d ago

Recent purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@cmnkb8	$17.00	41d ago
@WhatMeWorry	$17.00	70d ago
@Squad916	$16.00	74d ago
@wjf	$14.00	91d ago

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of 1

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Tyrese Maxey	Top Shot This	FANDOM	0.54%	$8.65	$0.05

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 10:37:31 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.