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NBA Top Shot · Pack #647
Rookie Debut: Quick Rip (Release 1) App
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$8.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.02 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (93% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $8.00
Typical Pull
$1.40
Grail premium $0.62 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (93% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $8.00
FMV coverage
100%
33 editions
Depletion
93%
live pool
Packs remaining
571
of 8,311 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 10m ago6.9%unopened
Common2,855 / 41,554 (6.9%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 10m ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 2,855 / 41,554 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 33 of 33 (100%)Victor Wembanyama
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$154
Floor
$139
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.04%Wt 0.002
Chet Holmgren
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$9.94
Floor
$9.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.04%Wt 0.002
Keyonte George
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$5.91
Floor
$5.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.35%Wt 0.018
Gradey Dick
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.64
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.53%Wt 0.026
Dereck Lively II
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.62
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.32%Wt 0.016
Trayce Jackson-Davis
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.53
Floor
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.012
Cason Wallace
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.25
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.32%Wt 0.016
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.11
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.35%Wt 0.018
Colby Jones
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.62
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.74%Wt 0.037
Franz Wagner
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.49
Floor
$0.29
Mint 8,500
Hit 6.73%Wt 0.336
Jordan Clarkson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.21
Mint 8,500
Hit 6.76%Wt 0.338
Russell Westbrook
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,500
Hit 6.09%Wt 0.305
Devin Booker
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 7.11%Wt 0.356
Shaedon Sharpe
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,500
Hit 7.11%Wt 0.356
Herbert Jones
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.80%Wt 0.34
Alperen Şengün
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 4.76%Wt 0.238
Peyton Watson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.80%Wt 0.34
Mark Williams
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.65%Wt 0.333
Jalen Williams
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 6.48%Wt 0.324
Brook Lopez
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,500
Hit 4.90%Wt 0.245
Desmond Bane
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,500
Hit 6.73%Wt 0.336
Kyle Anderson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.22
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.58%Wt 0.329
Dorian Finney-Smith
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.29
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.16%Wt 0.308
De'Andre Hunter
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.43%Wt 0.271