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NBA Top Shot · Pack #648
Rookie Debut: Quick Rip (Release 1) Web
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$11.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.97 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $11.00
Typical Pull
$1.35
Grail premium $1.62 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $11.00
FMV coverage
100%
29 editions
Depletion
97%
live pool
Packs remaining
266
of 8,256 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 20h ago3.2%unopened
Common1,315 / 41,278 (3.2%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 20h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 1,315 / 41,278 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 29 of 29 (100%)Victor Wembanyama
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$153
Floor
$135
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.008
Keyonte George
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$5.90
Floor
$5.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.03
Dereck Lively II
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.55
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.015
Gradey Dick
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.50
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.019
Cason Wallace
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.30
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.019
Trayce Jackson-Davis
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.18
Floor
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.015
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.13
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.03
Jarace Walker
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.95
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.53%Wt 0.026
Jordan Hawkins
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.68
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.53%Wt 0.026
Franz Wagner
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.49
Floor
$0.29
Mint 8,500
Hit 5.55%Wt 0.274
Jordan Clarkson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.21
Mint 8,500
Hit 8.14%Wt 0.402
Shaedon Sharpe
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.29
Mint 8,500
Hit 6.77%Wt 0.335
Brook Lopez
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 7.22%Wt 0.357
Russell Westbrook
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,500
Hit 6.24%Wt 0.308
Mark Williams
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.78%Wt 0.286
Dorian Finney-Smith
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.49%Wt 0.222
Herbert Jones
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.30%Wt 0.361
Alperen Şengün
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 6.46%Wt 0.32
Devin Booker
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 5.02%Wt 0.248
Jalen Williams
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 7.15%Wt 0.353
Peyton Watson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.00%Wt 0.346
Desmond Bane
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,500
Hit 4.94%Wt 0.244
De'Andre Hunter
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.31%Wt 0.312
Kyle Anderson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.22
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.08%Wt 0.301