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NBA Top Shot · Pack #651
Chicago Bulls Pack
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$2.25
Actual EV
$0.96
Net −$1.29 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 89% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2.25 ask
Typical Pull
$0.72
Grail premium $0.24 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
0.43x
-57.3% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 89% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $2.25 ask
FMV coverage
100%
37 editions
Depletion
89%
pool · as of 12h ago
Packs remaining
331
of 2,944 minted · as of 12h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 12h ago11%unopened
Rare2 / 14 (14%)
0.60 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.48 · 1.3× launch rate
Common991 / 8,818 (11%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 12h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 2 / 14 | 0.2% | ~1 in 166 |
| Common | 991 / 8,818 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 37 of 37 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Alex Caruso
3 Pointer · Oct 28, 2023
For the Win
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.20%Wt 0.002
Ayo Dosunmu
Layup · Oct 20, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.20%Wt 0.002
Alex Caruso
Layup · Nov 9, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$1.09
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 500
Hit 3.42%Wt 0.034
Charles Oakley
Layup · Jan 23, 1987
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.90
Recent Low
$0.31
Mint 5,000
Hit 0.91%Wt 0.009
Zach LaVine
Jump Shot · Feb 21, 2021
Seeing Stars
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.35
Mint 10,000
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Joakim Noah
Assist · Dec 25, 2013
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.49
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 4,500
Hit 15.51%Wt 0.155
Kirk Hinrich
Assist · Jan 14, 2014
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 4,500
Hit 16.41%Wt 0.164
Andre Drummond
Dunk · Dec 24, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.21%Wt 0.012
Nikola Vučević
Block · Dec 8, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.91%Wt 0.009
Zach LaVine
Dunk · Jan 10, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 35,000
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Alex Caruso
Assist · Dec 8, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.93%Wt 0.049
Zach LaVine
Dunk · Mar 17, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 2.92%Wt 0.029
Coby White
Dunk · Dec 20, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.61%Wt 0.016
Zach LaVine
Layup · Nov 29, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.82%Wt 0.028
Andre Drummond
Handles · Oct 26, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.91%Wt 0.019
Coby White
Dunk · Nov 18, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.74%Wt 0.057
Lonzo Ball
Assist · Jan 10, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 9,999
Hit 2.22%Wt 0.022
Ayo Dosunmu
Handles · Dec 31, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.81%Wt 0.018
Coby White
Jump Shot · Jan 7, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.21%Wt 0.012
Nikola Vučević
Dunk · Feb 5, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 8.96%Wt 0.09
Alex Caruso
Layup · Nov 9, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 8.06%Wt 0.081
Alex Caruso
Dunk · Oct 23, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 5.34%Wt 0.053
Dalen Terry
Layup · Feb 17, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.42%Wt 0.034
Zach LaVine
Dunk · Feb 2, 2022
Game Recognize Game
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 10,000
Hit 2.82%Wt 0.028