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NBA Top Shot · Pack #653
Dallas Mavericks Pack
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$4.99
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.84 ceiling · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
Typical Pull
$0.78
Grail premium $0.06 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
FMV coverage
100%
29 editions
Depletion
90%
pool · as of 25d ago
Packs remaining
446
of 4,540 minted · as of 25d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 25d ago9.8%unopened
Rare1 / 25 (4.0%)
Common1,331 / 13,595 (9.8%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 25d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 1 / 25 | <0.1% | ~1 in 444 |
| Common | 1,331 / 13,595 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 29 of 29 (100%)Mark Aguirre
Run It Back 1986-87
RARE5
FMV
$11.38
Floor
$8.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.002
Luka Dončić
Seeing Stars
COMMON2
FMV
$1.05
Floor
$0.80
Mint 10,000
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.004
Luka Dončić
2021 NBA Playoffs
COMMON2
FMV
$0.45
Floor
$0.26
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.84%Wt 0.025
Derek Harper
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMON5
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.24
Mint 5,000
Hit 0.53%Wt 0.016
Luka Dončić
Extra Spice
COMMON4
FMV
$0.43
Floor
$0.32
Mint 6,500
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.011
Luka Dončić
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMON4
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,250
Hit 1.68%Wt 0.049
Josh Green
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.46%Wt 0.013
Maxi Kleber
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMON4
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,750
Hit 0.31%Wt 0.009
Tim Hardaway Jr.
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.75%Wt 0.052
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 0.92%Wt 0.027
Devin Harris
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.13
Mint 4,500
Hit 18.00%Wt 0.529
Dwight Powell
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 14.34%Wt 0.422
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 9.92%Wt 0.291
Luka Dončić
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.86%Wt 0.231
Jaden Hardy
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.68%Wt 0.049
Maxi Kleber
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.07%Wt 0.031
Jerry Stackhouse
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.20
Mint 20,000
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.018
Tim Hardaway Jr.
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.89%Wt 0.114
Tim Hardaway Jr.
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.15
Mint 40,000
Hit 0.99%Wt 0.029
Raymond Felton
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.22
Floor
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.007
Maxi Kleber
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.86%Wt 0.202
Tim Hardaway Jr.
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.21
Floor
$0.13
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.64%Wt 0.195
Derrick Jones Jr.
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.20
Floor
$0.13
Mint 8,000
Hit 12.43%Wt 0.365
Kyrie Irving
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.20
Floor
$0.11
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.86%Wt 0.231