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NBA Top Shot · Pack #656
Golden State Warriors Pack
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$3.88
Actual EV
$1.45
Net −$2.43 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 80% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.88 ask
Typical Pull
$0.63
Grail premium $0.82 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
0.37x
-62.6% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 80% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.88 ask
FMV coverage
100%
52 editions
Depletion
80%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
934
of 4,616 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago20%unopened
Rare5 / 22 (23%)
0.54 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.48 · 1.1× launch rate
Common2,797 / 13,826 (20%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 5 / 22 | 0.2% | ~1 in 187 |
| Common | 2,797 / 13,826 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 52 of 52 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Baron Davis
Handles · Jan 29, 2006
Run It Back 2005-06
RARESummer 2021
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 990
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Steph Curry
3 Pointer · Oct 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$5.35
Recent Low
$5.94
Mint 500
Hit 3.82%Wt 0.038
Steph Curry
3 Pointer · Jun 17, 2022
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.64%Wt 0.006
Jonathan Kuminga
3 Pointer · Oct 31, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.009
Steph Curry
3 Pointer · Nov 25, 2021
Extra Spice
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.70
Recent Low
$0.35
Mint 6,500
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.007
Steph Curry
Block · May 1, 2022
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.59
Recent Low
$0.35
Mint 8,500
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.007
Steph Curry
3 Pointer · Feb 7, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.01
Steph Curry
Handles · Oct 25, 2021
Game Recognize Game
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 10,000
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Steph Curry
3 Pointer · Oct 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.45
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Steph Curry
3 Pointer · Oct 22, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.44
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 60,000
Hit 10.78%Wt 0.108
Joe Barry Carroll
Hook Shot · Feb 1, 1987
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.44
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 5,000
Hit 0.75%Wt 0.007
Shaun Livingston
Dunk · Jun 14, 2016
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,500
Hit 15.56%Wt 0.156
Jonathan Kuminga
Dunk · Dec 11, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.14%Wt 0.011
Draymond Green
Steal · Jan 16, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.07%Wt 0.041
Draymond Green
Assist · Feb 27, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 2.03%Wt 0.02
Klay Thompson
3 Pointer · Mar 14, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.14
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.53%Wt 0.055
Kevon Looney
Dunk · Mar 3, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.12
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.82%Wt 0.028
Festus Ezeli
Block · Nov 5, 2015
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 4,500
Hit 16.38%Wt 0.164
Klay Thompson
Assist · Jan 26, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 5.39%Wt 0.054
Kevon Looney
Layup · Dec 14, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 4.21%Wt 0.042
Draymond Green
Dunk · Nov 6, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.71%Wt 0.037
Jonathan Kuminga
Dunk · Feb 4, 2022
Hustle and Show
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 18,000
Hit 2.21%Wt 0.022
Andrew Wiggins
Dunk · Oct 27, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.28%Wt 0.033
Kevon Looney
Handles · Oct 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.13
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.07%Wt 0.031