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NBA Top Shot · Pack #661
Memphis Grizzlies Pack
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$3.99
Actual EV
$0.96
Net −$3.03 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (89% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.99
Typical Pull
$0.87
Grail premium $0.09 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
0.24x
-75.9% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (89% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $3.99
FMV coverage
100%
28 editions
Depletion
89%
live pool
Packs remaining
279
of 2,578 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 3h ago11%unopened
Rare2 / 13 (15%)
Common835 / 7,721 (11%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 3h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 2 / 13 | 0.2% | ~1 in 140 |
| Common | 835 / 7,721 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 28 of 28 (100%)David Roddy
Throwdowns
RARE5
FMV
$7.43
Floor
$7.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.004
Brandon Clarke
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$4.40
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.004
Jake LaRavia
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$1.35
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.004
Santi Aldama
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.98
Floor
$0.60
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.57%Wt 0.011
Ziaire Williams
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.95
Floor
$0.58
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.004
Kenneth Lofton Jr.
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$0.63
Floor
$0.35
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.57%Wt 0.011
Xavier Tillman
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.42
Floor
$0.33
Mint 40,000
Hit 0.76%Wt 0.014
Bismack Biyombo
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 13.31%Wt 0.251
Steven Adams
Fresh Threads
COMMON4
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.25
Mint 11,111
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.029
Mario Chalmers
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,500
Hit 26.62%Wt 0.502
Ja Morant
Game Recognize Game
COMMON4
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.20
Mint 10,000
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.032
Steven Adams
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.20
Mint 9,999
Hit 1.14%Wt 0.022
Desmond Bane
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 12.93%Wt 0.244
Brandon Clarke
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.09%Wt 0.039
Xavier Tillman
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.28
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.029
Zach Randolph
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.10
Mint 20,000
Hit 0.57%Wt 0.011
Desmond Bane
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 5.89%Wt 0.111
Ja Morant
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.24
Mint 40,000
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.061
Steven Adams
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.25
Mint 5,555
Hit 0.95%Wt 0.018
Desmond Bane
Rising Stars
COMMON4
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.22
Mint 17,500
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.029
Desmond Bane
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.22
Mint 60,000
Hit 14.26%Wt 0.269
Steven Adams
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.22
Mint 60,000
Hit 4.94%Wt 0.093
Ja Morant
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMON4
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.14
Mint 8,500
Hit 3.04%Wt 0.057
Ja Morant
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.19
Floor
$0.15
Mint 35,000
Hit 0.95%Wt 0.018