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NBA Top Shot · Pack #665
New Orleans Pelicans Pack
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$2.98
Actual EV
$0.99
Net −$1.99 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (89% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.98
Typical Pull
$0.87
Grail premium $0.12 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
0.33x
-66.8% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (89% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.98
FMV coverage
100%
31 editions
Depletion
89%
live pool
Packs remaining
237
of 2,151 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 8h ago11%unopened
Rare1 / 8 (13%)
Common710 / 6,445 (11%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 8h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 1 / 8 | 0.1% | ~1 in 237 |
| Common | 710 / 6,445 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 31 of 31 (100%)Zion Williamson
Throwdowns
RARE2
FMV
$5.43
Floor
$5.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.004
Trey Murphy III
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$3.21
Floor
$3.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.004
Alexis Ajinça
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.46
Floor
$0.30
Mint 4,500
Hit 18.32%Wt 0.544
Zion Williamson
Seeing Stars
COMMON2
FMV
$0.46
Floor
$0.29
Mint 10,000
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.008
Jose Alvarado
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMON4
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,750
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.021
Zion Williamson
Hustle and Show
COMMON5
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.30
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.008
Naji Marshall
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.39
Floor
$0.23
Mint 13,500
Hit 1.56%Wt 0.046
Herbert Jones
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.37
Floor
$0.22
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.57%Wt 0.017
Brandon Ingram
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.23
Mint 12,000
Hit 4.83%Wt 0.143
Herbert Jones
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 5.68%Wt 0.169
Naji Marshall
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,000
Hit 10.23%Wt 0.304
Jonas Valančiūnas
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.28
Mint 13,500
Hit 1.28%Wt 0.038
Herbert Jones
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.25
Mint 5,555
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.025
Jason Smith
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.13
Mint 4,500
Hit 15.34%Wt 0.456
CJ McCollum
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,500
Hit 12.07%Wt 0.359
Jose Alvarado
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.24
Mint 16,000
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.021
Herbert Jones
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.81%Wt 0.232
Naji Marshall
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 5.26%Wt 0.156
Zion Williamson
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.19
Mint 40,000
Hit 4.40%Wt 0.131
Jonas Valančiūnas
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.23
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.093
Brandon Ingram
2022 NBA Playoffs
COMMON4
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.10
Mint 8,750
Hit 0.57%Wt 0.017
Zion Williamson
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.15
Mint 35,000
Hit 0.57%Wt 0.017
Brandon Ingram
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.24
Floor
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.055
Jose Alvarado
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.23
Floor
$0.10
Mint 12,000
Hit 1.70%Wt 0.051