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NBA Top Shot · Pack #676
Washington Wizards Pack
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$4.00
Actual EV
$0.98
Net −$3.02 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (85% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.00
Typical Pull
$0.87
Grail premium $0.11 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
0.24x
-75.5% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (85% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.00
FMV coverage
100%
23 editions
Depletion
85%
live pool
Packs remaining
179
of 1,188 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 6h ago15%unopened
Rare1 / 8 (13%)
Common536 / 3,556 (15%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 6h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 1 / 8 | 0.2% | ~1 in 179 |
| Common | 536 / 3,556 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 23 of 23 (100%)Daniel Gafford
Throwdowns
RARE5
FMV
$4.41
Floor
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.006
Deni Avdija
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.78
Floor
$0.21
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.49%Wt 0.045
Kyle Kuzma
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.70
Floor
$0.40
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.03%Wt 0.151
Marcin Gortat
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.54
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.017
Tyus Jones
Fresh Threads
COMMON6
FMV
$0.53
Floor
$0.21
Mint 2,023
Hit 0.37%Wt 0.011
Daniel Gafford
2021 NBA Playoffs
COMMON2
FMV
$0.48
Floor
$0.53
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.19%Wt 0.006
Johnny Davis
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.42
Floor
$0.30
Mint 8,000
Hit 9.12%Wt 0.274
Jordan Poole
Fresh Threads
COMMON6
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.31
Mint 2,023
Hit 0.37%Wt 0.011
Kyle Kuzma
Fresh Threads
COMMON4
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.25
Mint 11,111
Hit 2.05%Wt 0.061
John Wall
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,500
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.017
John Wall
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.13
Mint 4,500
Hit 14.15%Wt 0.425
Daniel Gafford
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.21
Mint 12,000
Hit 0.37%Wt 0.011
Corey Kispert
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.28
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.33%Wt 0.19
Kyle Kuzma
Spotlight Series
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.25
Mint 5,555
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.017
Nenê
Archive Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.26
Mint 4,500
Hit 17.69%Wt 0.531
Deni Avdija
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.28
Mint 16,000
Hit 3.91%Wt 0.117
Kyle Kuzma
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.22
Mint 60,000
Hit 6.33%Wt 0.19
Kyle Kuzma
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.21
Mint 13,500
Hit 2.05%Wt 0.061
Jared Jeffries
Archive Set
COMMON3
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.20
Mint 20,000
Hit 0.37%Wt 0.011
Daniel Gafford
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,500
Hit 10.99%Wt 0.33
Daniel Gafford
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.61%Wt 0.078
Deni Avdija
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.23
Mint 60,000
Hit 11.73%Wt 0.352
Daniel Gafford
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.24
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.98%Wt 0.089