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NBA Top Shot · Pack #6954

Anthony Black Top Shot This

Fandom1 slot

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Value still sealed≈ $2.46/pack▼ 47% below the $4.60 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (83% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.60Typical pull ≈ $2.46 · value evenly spread

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$4.60] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

160

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

160

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$78.31

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$2.61

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Anthony Black · Top Shot This	FANDOM	100.00%	$2.46	100.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $4.00 (90d)Last $4.00 · 1mo agoRetail $4.60155 sales · 11 in 90d

trades ~0.87× retail

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$4.60

Actual EV

$2.46

Net −$2.14 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (83% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.60

Typical Pull

$2.46

Median pull ≈ Actual EV — value evenly spread

Value ratio

0.53x

-46.5% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (83% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.60

FMV coverage

100%

1 editions

Depletion

83%

live pool

Packs remaining

211

of 1,214 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 13h ago

17%unopened

211 / 1,214 packs

Fandom204 / 1,214 (17%)

Pull odds by tier

1 slots/pack · as of 13h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Fandom	204 / 1,214	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 1 of 1 (100%)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

Top purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@Optimism	$5.00	65d ago
@impartial_gerbil2775	$5.00	89d ago
@dardMC21	$5.00	97d ago
@dardMC21	$5.00	98d ago
@Greg4899	$5.00	98d ago
@DIAM0ND	$5.00	102d ago
@crosova	$4.00	38d ago
@crosova	$4.00	38d ago
@crosova	$4.00	42d ago
@crosova	$4.00	52d ago

Recent purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@crosova	$4.00	38d ago
@crosova	$4.00	38d ago
@crosova	$4.00	42d ago
@crosova	$4.00	52d ago

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of 1

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Anthony Black	Top Shot This	FANDOM	0.46%	$2.46	$0.01

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 1:13:46 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.