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NBA Top Shot · Pack #701
Rookie Debut Pack (Release 1)
Common4 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$6.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.79 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $6.00
Typical Pull
$1.32
Grail premium $1.47 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $6.00
FMV coverage
100%
37 editions
Depletion
97%
live pool
Packs remaining
605
of 23,191 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 4h ago2.6%unopened
Common15,680 / 92,764 (17%)
Pull odds by tier
4 slots/pack · as of 4h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 15,680 / 92,764 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 4 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 37 of 37 (100%)Jalen Duren
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$9.00
Floor
$7.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.80%Wt 0.096
Tari Eason
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$3.16
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.49%Wt 0.079
Keegan Murray
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$2.93
Floor
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.27%Wt 0.121
Dyson Daniels
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$2.19
Floor
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.96%Wt 0.104
Malaki Branham
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$1.38
Floor
$0.29
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.111
Jake LaRavia
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$1.35
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.30%Wt 0.122
Max Christie
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$1.05
Floor
$0.88
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.65%Wt 0.088
Caleb Houstan
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$0.98
Floor
$0.88
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.52%Wt 0.134
AJ Griffin
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$0.72
Floor
$0.35
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.68%Wt 0.089
Donovan Mitchell
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.71
Floor
$0.28
Mint 16,000
Hit 0.40%Wt 0.021
Kennedy Chandler
Rookie Debut
COMMON5
FMV
$0.62
Floor
$0.35
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.96%Wt 0.104
Alex Caruso
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.42
Floor
$0.27
Mint 12,000
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.091
James Harden
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.27
Mint 9,500
Hit 1.15%Wt 0.061
Mitchell Robinson
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.34
Floor
$0.27
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.90%Wt 0.101
Jarred Vanderbilt
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.29
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.24%Wt 0.119
Kyle Lowry
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.22
Mint 16,000
Hit 15.67%Wt 0.833
Moritz Wagner
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 26.14%Wt 1.39
Jevon Carter
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.30
Mint 16,000
Hit 8.27%Wt 0.44
Alec Burks
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.25
Mint 9,500
Hit 2.74%Wt 0.145
Harrison Barnes
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.25
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.93%Wt 0.102
Kawhi Leonard
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.26
Mint 16,000
Hit 1.65%Wt 0.088
Grayson Allen
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.22
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.74%Wt 0.145
Michael Porter Jr.
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.22
Mint 16,000
Hit 2.58%Wt 0.137
Charles Bassey
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.29
Mint 16,000
Hit 5.44%Wt 0.289