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NBA Top Shot · Pack #709
Rookie Debut Set Reward: Lottery Pick
Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$149
Actual EV
—
≈ $19.42 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $149
Typical Pull
$1.60
Grail premium $17.82 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $149
FMV coverage
100%
36 editions
Depletion
97%
live pool
Packs remaining
20
of 667 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 11h ago3.0%unopened
Common100 / 3,335 (3.0%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 11h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 100 / 3,335 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 36 of 36 (100%)Victor Wembanyama
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$156
Floor
$146
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.06%Wt 0.1
Amen Thompson
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$9.55
Floor
$8.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.05
Ausar Thompson
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$5.48
Floor
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.05
Scoot Henderson
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$3.14
Floor
$3.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.05
Anthony Black
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$2.76
Floor
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.06%Wt 0.1
Gradey Dick
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.64
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.05
Dereck Lively II
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.58
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.06%Wt 0.1
Bilal Coulibaly
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.49
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.05
Cason Wallace
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.23
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.09%Wt 0.15
Jett Howard
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.07
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.05
Jarace Walker
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.97
Floor
$0.25
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.12%Wt 0.2
Jeff Green
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.49
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.22%Wt 0.35
Alex Caruso
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.29
Mint 8,500
Hit 5.15%Wt 0.25
Kelly Olynyk
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.43
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.06%Wt 0.1
Steph Curry
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.28
Mint 8,500
Hit 7.22%Wt 0.35
Malik Monk
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.15%Wt 0.25
Luguentz Dort
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 8.25%Wt 0.4
Immanuel Quickley
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.30
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.09%Wt 0.15
Joel Embiid
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.22
Mint 8,500
Hit 4.12%Wt 0.2
Caris LeVert
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,500
Hit 3.09%Wt 0.15
Isaiah Hartenstein
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.15%Wt 0.25
Jabari Walker
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.12%Wt 0.2
Payton Pritchard
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.09%Wt 0.15
Terry Rozier
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.22
Mint 8,500
Hit 3.09%Wt 0.15