Skip to content
LIVE
⚡ COLLECTION ANALYZER — FMV + marketplace asks + badge intel⚡ PACK EV CALCULATOR — expected value vs price⚡ SNIPER — real-time deals below FMV⚡ BADGE FILTERS — filter any view by Top Shot Debut · Fresh · Rookie Year⚡ SET TRACKER — completion + bottleneck finder
RPC›NBA Top Shot
🏀
NBA Top Shot
Dapper Labs · NBA
Flow
What's your collection worth?Free, no signup. Total FMV + your top moments.
Rookie Debut Set Reward: Lottery Pick
NBA Top Shot · Pack #709

Rookie Debut Set Reward: Lottery Pick

Common5 slots
Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$149] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$149
Actual EV
—
≈ $17.19 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $149 ask
Typical Pull
$1.05
Grail premium $16.14 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $149 ask
FMV coverage
100%
37 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
20
of 667 minted · as of 2d ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 2d ago
3.0%unopened
20 / 667 packs
Common100 / 3,335 (3.0%)

Pull odds by tier

5 slots/pack · as of 2d ago
TierRemaining% of poolOdds / pack
Common100 / 3,335100%~every pack
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 37 of 37 (100%)
Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Victor Wembanyama
Victor Wembanyama
3 Pointer · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$141
Recent Low
$135
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Amen Thompson
Amen Thompson
Dunk · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.01
Ausar Thompson
Ausar Thompson
Block · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.99
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.01
Scoot Henderson
Scoot Henderson
Jump Shot · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.74
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.01
Anthony Black
Anthony Black
Jump Shot · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$2.17
Recent Low
$1.95
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Cason Wallace
Cason Wallace
Jump Shot · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$1.99
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.00%Wt 0.03
Bilal Coulibaly
Bilal Coulibaly
Block · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$1.75
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.01
Dereck Lively II
Dereck Lively II
Dunk · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$1.25
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Jarace Walker
Jarace Walker
Steal · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.04
Gradey Dick
Gradey Dick
Assist · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.01
Jett Howard
Jett Howard
Assist · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.71
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.01
Jordan Hawkins
Jordan Hawkins
3 Pointer · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.35
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.01
Steph Curry
Steph Curry
3 Pointer · Oct 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.45
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.00%Wt 0.07
Joel Embiid
Joel Embiid
Dunk · Oct 29, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.14
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.04
Caris LeVert
Caris LeVert
Assist · Oct 27, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.00%Wt 0.03
Jabari Walker
Jabari Walker
Block · Oct 30, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.04
Immanuel Quickley
Immanuel Quickley
3 Pointer · Nov 9, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.00%Wt 0.03
Alex Caruso
Alex Caruso
Layup · Nov 9, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Isaiah Hartenstein
Isaiah Hartenstein
Hook Shot · Oct 31, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.12
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Luguentz Dort
Luguentz Dort
Layup · Oct 27, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 8.00%Wt 0.08
Jeff Green
Jeff Green
3 Pointer · Nov 13, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.00%Wt 0.07
Malik Monk
Malik Monk
Assist · Nov 9, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Terry Rozier
Terry Rozier
Handles · Oct 25, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.00%Wt 0.03
Tim Hardaway Jr.
Tim Hardaway Jr.
3 Pointer · Nov 2, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.00%Wt 0.03