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NBA Top Shot · Pack #752

Fresh Threads App

Common

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Value still sealed≈ $0.48/pack▼ 90% below the $5.00 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (89% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $5.00Typical pull ≈ $0.44 · value evenly spread

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$5.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

534

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

2,136

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$7.48

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$1.25

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

⚠ 54% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Christian Wood · Fresh Threads	COMMON	12.87%	$0.60	16.7%
Eric Gordon · Fresh Threads	COMMON	12.13%	$0.56	14.7%
Tyus Jones · Fresh Threads	COMMON	12.53%	$0.53	14.3%
Bradley Beal · Fresh Threads	COMMON	12.25%	$0.46	12.2%
Jusuf Nurkić · Fresh Threads	COMMON	12.75%	$0.42

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $3.00 · 1y agoRetail $5.00565 sales

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$5.00

Actual EV

$0.48

Net −$4.52 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (89% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $5.00

Typical Pull

$0.44

Grail premium $0.04 — value evenly spread

Value ratio

0.10x

-90.4% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (89% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $5.00

FMV coverage

100%

8 editions

Depletion

89%

live pool

Packs remaining

443

of 3,890 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 19h ago

11%unopened

443 / 3,890 packs

Common1,764 / 15,560 (11%)

Pull odds by tier

per pack · as of 19h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Common	1,764 / 15,560	100%	—

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 8 of 8 (100%)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 8 of 8

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Obi Toppin	Fresh Threads	COMMON	0.12%	$0.36	—
Christian Wood	Fresh Threads	COMMON	0.12%	$0.60	—
Jusuf Nurkić	Fresh Threads	COMMON	0.11%	$0.42	—
Tyus Jones	Fresh Threads	COMMON	0.11%	$0.53	—
Jordan Poole	Fresh Threads	COMMON	0.11%	$0.40	—
Bradley Beal	Fresh Threads	COMMON	0.11%	$0.46	—
Eric Gordon	Fresh Threads	COMMON	0.11%	$0.56	—
Bruce Brown	Fresh Threads	COMMON	0.10%	$0.38	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 3:07:10 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.