Skip to content
LIVE
⚡ COLLECTION ANALYZER — FMV + marketplace asks + badge intel⚡ PACK EV CALCULATOR — expected value vs price⚡ SNIPER — real-time deals below FMV⚡ BADGE FILTERS — filter any view by Top Shot Debut · Fresh · Rookie Year⚡ SET TRACKER — completion + bottleneck finder
RPC›NBA Top Shot
🏀
NBA Top Shot
Dapper Labs · NBA
Flow
What's your collection worth?Free, no signup. Total FMV + your top moments.
Fresh Threads Web
NBA Top Shot · Pack #753

Fresh Threads Web

Common
Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$5.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$5.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.49 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 91% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $5.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.34
Grail premium $0.15 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 91% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $5.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
8 editions
Depletion
91%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
363
of 3,889 minted · as of 1d ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 1d ago
9.3%unopened
363 / 3,889 packs
Common1,452 / 15,556 (9.3%)

Pull odds by tier

per pack · as of 1d ago
TierRemaining% of poolOdds / pack
Common1,452 / 15,556100%—
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 8 of 8 (100%)
John Collins
John Collins
Dunk · Oct 26, 2023
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$1.39
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,023
Hit 12.33%Wt 0.123
Dennis Schröder
Dennis Schröder
Layup · Oct 25, 2023
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.49
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 2,023
Hit 12.12%Wt 0.121
Donte DiVincenzo
Donte DiVincenzo
Assist · Oct 25, 2023
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.43
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 2,023
Hit 12.12%Wt 0.121
Marcus Smart
Marcus Smart
Jump Shot · Oct 26, 2023
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.35
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,023
Hit 12.67%Wt 0.127
Jrue Holiday
Jrue Holiday
Jump Shot · Oct 25, 2023
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.34
Recent Low
$0.27
Mint 2,023
Hit 12.33%Wt 0.123
Derrick Rose
Derrick Rose
Assist · Oct 26, 2023
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 2,023
Hit 12.88%Wt 0.129
Lonnie Walker IV
Lonnie Walker IV
Assist · Oct 28, 2023
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.32
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 2,023
Hit 12.88%Wt 0.129
Grant Williams
Grant Williams
Layup · Oct 26, 2023
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,023
Hit 12.67%Wt 0.127