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NBA Top Shot · Pack #754
Fresh Threads Trade Ticket
Common4 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$3.90
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.14 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.90 ask
Typical Pull
$1.52
Grail premium $0.62 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.90 ask
FMV coverage
100%
8 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
123
of 3,898 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago3.2%unopened
Common492 / 15,592 (3.2%)
Pull odds by tier
4 slots/pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 492 / 15,592 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 4 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 8 of 8 (100%)Robert Williams III
Dunk · Oct 26, 2023
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$1.49
Recent Low
$0.31
Mint 2,023
Hit 11.99%Wt 0.12
Deandre Ayton
Block · Oct 26, 2023
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.77
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 2,023
Hit 10.98%Wt 0.11
Fred VanVleet
3 Pointer · Oct 25, 2023
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.46
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 2,023
Hit 11.79%Wt 0.118
Max Strus
3 Pointer · Oct 25, 2023
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.39
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 2,023
Hit 13.41%Wt 0.134
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Jump Shot · Oct 26, 2023
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.38
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 2,023
Hit 11.59%Wt 0.116
Dillon Brooks
3 Pointer · Oct 25, 2023
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 2,023
Hit 13.21%Wt 0.132
Malcolm Brogdon
Layup · Oct 26, 2023
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 2,023
Hit 13.01%Wt 0.13
James Harden
3 Pointer · Nov 7, 2023
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 2,023
Hit 14.02%Wt 0.14