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NBA Top Shot · Pack #7589

Jayson Tatum Top Shot This

Fandom1 slot

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Value still sealed≈ $1.15/pack▼ 77% below the $4.90 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (87% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.90Typical pull ≈ $1.15 · value evenly spread

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$4.90] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$21.72

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.70

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Jayson Tatum · Top Shot This	FANDOM	100.00%	$1.17	100.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $4.00 (90d)Last $4.00 · 2mo agoRetail $4.90155 sales · 3 in 90d

trades 0.82× retail — secondary discount

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$4.90

Actual EV

$1.15

Net −$3.75 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (87% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.90

Typical Pull

$1.15

Median pull ≈ Actual EV — value evenly spread

Value ratio

0.23x

-76.5% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (87% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.90

FMV coverage

100%

1 editions

Depletion

87%

live pool

Packs remaining

199

of 1,566 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 8h ago

13%unopened

199 / 1,566 packs

Fandom197 / 1,566 (13%)

Pull odds by tier

1 slots/pack · as of 8h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Fandom	197 / 1,566	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 1 of 1 (100%)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

Top purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@Shmerickaz1521	$6.00	113d ago
@NBA_NFTs	$5.00	43d ago
@MrElvishPiper	$5.00	78d ago
@MrElvishPiper	$5.00	87d ago
@MrElvishPiper	$5.00	96d ago
@impartial_gerbil2775	$5.00	96d ago
@MrElvishPiper	$5.00	103d ago
@MrElvishPiper	$5.00	114d ago
@arielremer	$5.00	114d ago
@upright_cumquat8753	$5.00	115d ago

Recent purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@NBA_NFTs	$5.00	43d ago
@crosova	$4.00	77d ago
@MrElvishPiper	$5.00	78d ago
@MrElvishPiper	$5.00

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of 1

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Jayson Tatum	Top Shot This	FANDOM	0.50%	$1.17	$0.01

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 3:31:24 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.