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NBA Top Shot · Pack #7698

LeBron James Top Shot This

Fandom1 slot

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Value still sealed≈ $1.06/pack▼ 79% below the $4.95 secondary ask· EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historicalTypical pull ≈ $1.06 · value evenly spread

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$4.95] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

2,201

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

2,201

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$732

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$1.21

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

EV reality check

Modeled $1.06/packvs realized $0.03 avg · $0.00 median · $0.00 p90(0.03×)

Calibrated estimate $0.00/packmodel blended toward observed pulls

Model over-values vs actual pulls · 31 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
LeBron James · Top Shot This	FANDOM	100.00%	$1.03	100.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $4.89 (90d)Last $4.94 · 4d agoRetail $4.851,896 sales · 65 in 90d

trades ~1.01× retail

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$4.95

Actual EV

$1.06

Net −$3.89 vs ask · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical

Typical Pull

$1.06

Median pull ≈ Actual EV — value evenly spread

Value ratio

0.21x

-78.6% margin · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical

FMV coverage

100%

1 editions

Depletion

84%

pool · as of 24d ago

Packs remaining

885

of 5,373 minted · as of 24d ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 24d ago

16%unopened

885 / 5,373 packs

Fandom759 / 5,373 (14%)

Pull odds by tier

1 slots/pack · as of 24d ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Fandom	759 / 5,373	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 1 of 1 (100%)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

Top purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@Hammanator	$7.00	156d ago
@Hammanator	$7.00	156d ago
0x665e…f2da	$7.00	156d ago
@Hammanator	$7.00	156d ago
@Hammanator	$7.00	156d ago
@Hammanator	$7.00	156d ago
0x9139…0abc	$7.00	156d ago
@alahley	$7.00	156d ago
@Hammanator	$7.00	157d ago
@Hammanator	$7.00	158d ago

Recent purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@Dreamhomeinvestments	$4.94	3d ago
@HerbieHerb76ers	$4.95	4d ago
@HerbieHerb76ers	$4.94	4d ago
@HerbieHerb76ers	$4.94

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of 1

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
LeBron James	Top Shot This	FANDOM	0.10%	$1.03	<$0.01

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/28/2026, 4:07:20 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.