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NBA Top Shot · Pack #7715
Collector's Court II: Guaranteed Hit
Common1 slot
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$18.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $3.23 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $18.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.69
Grail premium $1.54 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $18.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
33 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
36
of 5,000 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago0.7%unopened
Legendary0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.02
Rare8 / 778 (1.0%)
22 per 100 sealed packs · launch 16 · 1.4× launch rate
Fandom0 / 44 (0.0%)
Common28 / 4,177 (0.7%)
Pull odds by tier
1 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 8 / 778 | 22% | ~1 in 5 |
| Fandom | 0 / 44 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Common | 28 / 4,177 | 78% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 33 of 33 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Walter Clayton Jr.
3 Pointer · Oct 28, 2025
Origins
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$17.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 129
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Tracy McGrady
Dunk · Mar 2, 2006
Run It Back 2005-06
RARESummer 2021
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 990
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Jase Richardson
Floater · Oct 25, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Hardcourt
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$25.95
Mint 50
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Jalen Suggs
Dunk · Jan 23, 2022
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 467
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Detlef Schrempf
Layup · Jan 11, 1995
Vintage Vibes
COMMONSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 99
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
JaMychal Green
Dunk · Aug 30, 2020
First Round
RARESeries 1
FMV
$6.75
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 200
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Carlton Carrington
Floater · Apr 13, 2025
2024-25 Honors
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.25
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 137
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Andre Miller
3 Pointer · Apr 2, 2006
Run It Back 2005-06
RARESummer 2021
FMV
$4.25
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 990
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Antawn Jamison
Layup · Apr 2, 2006
Run It Back 2005-06
RARESummer 2021
FMV
$4.25
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 990
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Jordan Poole
Layup · Jan 26, 2023
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 777
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Javon Small
Block · Oct 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$2.99
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Ethan Thompson
Jump Shot · Dec 2, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$2.55
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 99
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Asa Newell
3 Pointer · Oct 24, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$2.50
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Ivica Zubac
Dunk · Sep 4, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$2.19
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 3,287
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Brook Lopez
Dunk · Sep 8, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Jamal Murray
Handles · Aug 31, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$1.89
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 3,525
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Micah Peavy
Layup · Oct 28, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$1.75
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 5.56%Wt 0.056
Johni Broome
Layup · Nov 2, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$1.69
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 5.56%Wt 0.056
Taelon Peter
3 Pointer · Oct 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$1.60
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Liam McNeeley
Assist · Oct 26, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$1.50
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Cam Spencer
3 Pointer · Dec 9, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.44
Recent Low
$0.99
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Mark Eaton
Block · Jan 31, 1987
Archive Set 1986-87
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.66
Mint 5,000
Hit 5.56%Wt 0.056
Jakob Poeltl
Block · Aug 1, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,694
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Kyle Lowry
Jump Shot · Sep 9, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 3,289
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
