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NBA Top Shot · Pack #7717

Nikola Jokic Top Shot This

Fandom1 slot

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Value still sealed≈ $0.41/pack▼ 84% below the $2.50 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (66% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.50Typical pull ≈ $0.41 · value evenly spread

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$2.50] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

435

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

435

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$830

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$1.91

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Nikola Jokić · Top Shot This	FANDOM	100.00%	$0.41	100.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $3.00 (90d)Last $3.00 · 9d agoRetail $2.27576 sales · 95 in 90d

trades 1.32× retail — secondary premium

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$2.50

Actual EV

$0.41

Net −$2.09 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (66% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.50

Typical Pull

$0.41

Median pull ≈ Actual EV — value evenly spread

Value ratio

0.16x

-83.6% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (66% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $2.50

FMV coverage

100%

1 editions

Depletion

66%

live pool

Packs remaining

942

of 2,795 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 5h ago

34%unopened

942 / 2,795 packs

Fandom897 / 2,795 (32%)

Pull odds by tier

1 slots/pack · as of 5h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Fandom	897 / 2,795	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

FMV priced 1 of 1 (100%)

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

Top purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@gkbryant24	$6.00	112d ago
@gkbryant24	$6.00	112d ago
@gkbryant24	$6.00	112d ago
@gkbryant24	$6.00	112d ago
@gkbryant24	$6.00	112d ago
@gkbryant24	$6.00	112d ago
@gkbryant24	$6.00	112d ago
@user85595955	$6.00	113d ago
@user85595955	$6.00	113d ago
@eddiedunks	$6.00	113d ago

Recent purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@MakeUsDream	$2.27	3d ago
@htt_trap5509	$2.33	3d ago
@Jammerz	$3.00	7d ago
@Jammerz	$3.00	7d ago

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of 1

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Nikola Jokić	Top Shot This	FANDOM	0.10%	$0.41	<$0.01

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 9:43:11 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.