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NBA Top Shot · Pack #7721
Courtside: Guaranteed Hit
Common1 slot
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$8.49
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.30 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $8.49 ask
Typical Pull
$0.38
Grail premium $1.92 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $8.49 ask
FMV coverage
100%
101 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
170
of 5,000 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago3.4%unopened
Rare33 / 738 (4.5%)
19 per 100 sealed packs · launch 15 · 1.3× launch rate
Fandom2 / 153 (1.3%)
Common135 / 4,109 (3.3%)
Pull odds by tier
1 slots/pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 33 / 738 | 19% | ~1 in 5 |
| Fandom | 2 / 153 | 1.2% | ~1 in 85 |
| Common | 135 / 4,109 | 79% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 101 of 101 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Nique Clifford
Layup · Oct 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$40.50
Recent Low
$45.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
LaMelo Ball
Assist · Dec 24, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$23.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
OG Anunoby
Block · Oct 27, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$22.00
Recent Low
$16.00
Mint 1,358
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
LeBron James
Dunk · Sep 19, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 3,113
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
OG Anunoby
Block · Nov 26, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$19.99
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Dunk · Mar 1, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$16.50
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 1,012
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Tyrese Haliburton
Reel · Nov 26, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Paul George
Layup · Nov 5, 2024
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.99
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Jaylen Brown
Dunk · Nov 30, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Joel Embiid
Assist · Oct 28, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 2,987
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
Bam Adebayo
Dunk · Dec 5, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Tyrese Maxey
3 Pointer · Oct 28, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$14.50
Mint 399
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Jayson Tatum
Dunk · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$6.74
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Brandon Ingram
Dunk · Jan 4, 2026
Constellations
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Carmelo Anthony
Handles · Mar 8, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Jalen Green
Dunk · Dec 12, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$5.50
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Karl-Anthony Towns
Dunk · Apr 4, 2021
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2
FMV
$5.13
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Damian Lillard
3 Pointer · Feb 24, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Dunk · Nov 26, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Damian Lillard
Layup · Nov 19, 2024
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Scottie Barnes
Assist · Nov 30, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Kyrie Irving
Reel · Jan 12, 2024
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Joel Embiid
Dunk · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.98
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
De'Aaron Fox
Dunk · Jan 12, 2021
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2
FMV
$4.99
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006