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NBA Top Shot · Pack #779
Throwdowns: December Pre-Sale
Rare5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$150
Actual EV
—
≈ $22.00 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $150
Typical Pull
$20.00
Grail premium $2.00 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $150
FMV coverage
100%
23 editions
Depletion
96%
live pool
Packs remaining
33
of 922 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 11h ago3.6%unopened
Rare83 / 2,307 (3.6%)
Common82 / 2,303 (3.6%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 11h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 83 / 2,307 | 50% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 82 / 2,303 | 50% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 23 of 23 (100%)Jalen Johnson
Throwdowns
RARE6
FMV
$10.10
Floor
$6.00
Mint 699
Hit 12.86%Wt 0.545
Jaylen Brown
Throwdowns
RARE6
FMV
$9.33
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 10.71%Wt 0.455
Keyonte George
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$6.04
Floor
$5.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.03
Malik Monk
Throwdowns
RARE6
FMV
$5.40
Floor
$6.00
Mint 699
Hit 10.71%Wt 0.455
D'Angelo Russell
Throwdowns
RARE6
FMV
$4.05
Floor
$2.50
Mint 699
Hit 12.86%Wt 0.545
Tari Eason
Throwdowns
RARE6
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 12.14%Wt 0.515
Brandin Podziemski
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.90
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.061
Trayce Jackson-Davis
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.21
Floor
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.03
Julian Strawther
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.11
Floor
$0.24
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.03
Nick Smith Jr.
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.00
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.14%Wt 0.091
Marcus Sasser
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.83
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.03
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.72
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.424
Mouhamed Gueye
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.72
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.061
Vasilije Micić
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.68
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.14%Wt 0.091
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.67
Floor
$0.50
Mint 8,500
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.121
Sasha Vezenkov
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.64
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.03
Kobe Brown
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.62
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.061
Andre Jackson Jr.
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.58
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.03
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.56
Floor
$0.28
Mint 8,500
Hit 4.29%Wt 0.182
Jalen Pickett
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.56
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.03
Alec Burks
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.47
Floor
$0.27
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.212
Jalen Brunson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.41
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 4.29%Wt 0.182
Luguentz Dort
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 0.71%Wt 0.03