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NBA Top Shot · Pack #781
Quick Rip Throwdowns: December (Web)
Common
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$7.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.69 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $7.00
Typical Pull
$0.41
Grail premium $0.28 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $7.00
FMV coverage
100%
26 editions
Depletion
96%
live pool
Packs remaining
90
of 2,500 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 16h ago3.6%unopened
Rare6 / 250 (2.4%)
Common350 / 9,750 (3.6%)
Pull odds by tier
per pack · as of 16h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 6 / 250 | 1.7% | — |
| Common | 350 / 9,750 | 98% | — |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 26 of 26 (100%)Jalen Johnson
Throwdowns
RARE6
FMV
$10.10
Floor
$6.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.41%Wt 0.011
Keyonte George
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$6.04
Floor
$5.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.022
Malik Monk
Throwdowns
RARE6
FMV
$5.40
Floor
$6.00
Mint 699
Hit 1.66%Wt 0.044
Tari Eason
Throwdowns
RARE6
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.41%Wt 0.011
Brandin Podziemski
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.90
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.41%Wt 0.011
Bilal Coulibaly
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.49
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.41%Wt 0.011
Cam Whitmore
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.28
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.41%Wt 0.011
Trayce Jackson-Davis
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.21
Floor
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.022
Julian Strawther
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.11
Floor
$0.24
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.66%Wt 0.044
Nick Smith Jr.
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.00
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.24%Wt 0.033
Marcus Sasser
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.83
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.41%Wt 0.011
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.72
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 10.79%Wt 0.289
Mouhamed Gueye
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.72
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.41%Wt 0.011
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.67
Floor
$0.50
Mint 8,500
Hit 12.45%Wt 0.333
Sasha Vezenkov
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.64
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.022
Kobe Brown
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.62
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.022
Colby Jones
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.62
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.41%Wt 0.011
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.56
Floor
$0.28
Mint 8,500
Hit 10.79%Wt 0.289
Alec Burks
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.47
Floor
$0.27
Mint 8,000
Hit 12.45%Wt 0.333
Jalen Brunson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.41
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 14.11%Wt 0.378
Coby White
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 12.03%Wt 0.322
Ivica Zubac
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.32
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.07%Wt 0.056
Luguentz Dort
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.022
Daniel Gafford
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,500
Hit 12.45%Wt 0.333