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NBA Top Shot · Pack #7810
Buzzer Beater: Guaranteed Hit Pack
Common1 slot
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$14.49
Actual EV
—
≈ $4.82 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $14.49 ask
Typical Pull
$4.00
Grail premium $0.82 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $14.49 ask
FMV coverage
100%
63 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 2h ago
Packs remaining
70
of 4,990 minted · as of 2h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2h ago1.4%unopened
Legendary0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.02
Rare55 / 4,052 (1.4%)
79 per 100 sealed packs · launch 81 · ≈ launch rate
Fandom0 / 3 (0.0%)
Common15 / 934 (1.6%)
Pull odds by tier
1 slots/pack · as of 2h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 55 / 4,052 | 79% | ~1 in 1 |
| Fandom | 0 / 3 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Common | 15 / 934 | 21% | ~1 in 5 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 63 of 63 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Jake LaRavia
Dunk · Jan 3, 2026
Breakout
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$21.25
Recent Low
$25.00
Mint 25
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Christian Laettner
Layup · Mar 22, 1993
Vintage Vibes
COMMONSeries 2025-26Hardcourt
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$25.00
Mint 50
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Moussa Diabaté
Dunk · Jan 29, 2026
Breakout
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$7.72
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 249
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Kevin Durant
Block · Jan 30, 2025
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Seth Curry
3 Pointer · Jan 7, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 499
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.029
Andre Drummond
Dunk · Feb 10, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 1,254
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Ja Morant
Layup · Dec 13, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$6.49
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 199
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Vít Krejčí
Dunk · Feb 7, 2026
Breakout
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$6.48
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 249
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Franz Wagner
Block · Nov 14, 2024
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.45
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 599
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.029
Damian Lillard
Reel · Jan 20, 2024
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Jarrett Allen
Block · Feb 25, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$14.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Khris Middleton
Assist · Feb 2, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Tyrese Haliburton
Reel · Mar 7, 2023
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 4
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Zach LaVine
Dunk · Dec 28, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Chaz Lanier
3 Pointer · Oct 24, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 99
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Mohamed Diawara
Layup · Nov 6, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Donte DiVincenzo
Steal · Oct 23, 2024
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.88
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Nae'Qwan Tomlin
Dunk · Feb 12, 2026
Breakout
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$8.48
Mint 249
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Cam Thomas
3 Pointer · Nov 7, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Coby White
3 Pointer · Dec 1, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Chris Paul
Handles · Oct 31, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.029
Nikola Vučević
Hook Shot · Nov 8, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.029
Robert Williams III
Dunk · Apr 11, 2021
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.029
Justin Champagnie
Dunk · Dec 5, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 249
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.029
