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NBA Top Shot · Pack #7811

Top Shot This Playoffs Edition: Victor Wembanyama

Fandom1 slot

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Value still sealed≈ $1.18/pack▼ 94% below the $18.45 secondary ask· EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historicalTypical pull ≈ $1.18 · value evenly spread

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$18.45] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

2,832

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

2,832

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$3,844

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$1.38

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

EV reality check

Modeled $1.18/packvs realized $4.38 avg · $0.00 median · $17.10 p90(3.71×)

Calibrated estimate $1.79/packmodel blended toward observed pulls

Model under-values vs actual pulls · 15 attributed opens

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Victor Wembanyama · Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	100.00%	$1.17	100.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $20.00 (90d)Last $19.29 · 23d agoRetail $19.502,349 sales · 94 in 90d

trades ~1.03× retail

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$18.45

Actual EV

$1.18

Net −$17.27 vs ask · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical

Typical Pull

$1.18

Median pull ≈ Actual EV — value evenly spread

Value ratio

0.06x

-93.6% margin · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical

FMV coverage

100%

1 editions

Depletion

89%

pool · as of 25d ago

Packs remaining

584

of 5,245 minted · as of 25d ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 25d ago

11%unopened

584 / 5,245 packs

Fandom469 / 5,245 (8.9%)

Pull odds by tier

1 slots/pack · as of 25d ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Fandom	469 / 5,245	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

FandomHit 100.00%

Victor Wembanyama

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$1.17

What's Inside

FMV priced 1 of 1 (100%)

Victor Wembanyama

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

Top purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@WobbleFlex	$35.00	119d ago
@WobbleFlex	$35.00	119d ago
@WobbleFlex	$32.00	119d ago
@Rewind2001	$30.00	119d ago
@Jason3555	$29.00	113d ago
@mericlemaker	$29.00	113d ago
@mericlemaker	$29.00	113d ago
@mericlemaker	$29.00	113d ago
@Rewind2001	$29.00	119d ago
@mericlemaker	$28.00	112d ago

Recent purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@mericlemaker	$19.50	22d ago
@mericlemaker	$19.30	22d ago
@mericlemaker	$19.29	22d ago
@user62210807	$20.00

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of 1

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Victor Wembanyama	Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	0.14%	$1.17	<$0.01

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/28/2026, 2:19:14 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.