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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8227
NBA Top Shot x NBA ID
Common2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$9.99
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.45 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $9.99 ask
Typical Pull
$0.40
Grail premium $0.05 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $9.99 ask
FMV coverage
100%
366 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 18h ago
Packs remaining
755
of 20,000 minted · as of 18h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 18h ago3.8%unopened
Legendary0 / 9 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.04
Rare13 / 495 (2.6%)
1.7 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.5 · 0.7× launch rate
Fandom0 / 3 (0.0%)
Common3,429 / 84,493 (4.1%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 18h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 9 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 13 / 495 | 0.4% | ~1 in 133 |
| Fandom | 0 / 3 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Common | 3,429 / 84,493 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 366 of 366 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Aleksej Pokusevski
Dunk · Mar 28, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Andrew Wiggins
Dunk · Jan 10, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.03%Wt 0
Ayo Dosunmu
Layup · Dec 22, 2022
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.06%Wt 0.001
Paolo Banchero
Handles · Nov 4, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
Walker Kessler
3 Pointer · Dec 27, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.51
Recent Low
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.35%Wt 0.003
Steph Curry
3 Pointer · Oct 22, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.44
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.99%Wt 0.01
Jontay Porter
3 Pointer · Jan 19, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.76%Wt 0.008
Evan Mobley
Dunk · Feb 25, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.81%Wt 0.008
Wendell Carter Jr.
Block · Mar 13, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.64%Wt 0.006
Dejounte Murray
Handles · Mar 9, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.84%Wt 0.008
Andre Iguodala
Assist · Nov 6, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.21%Wt 0.022
Kristaps Porziņģis
Jump Shot · Feb 10, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.54%Wt 0.015
Luke Kornet
Steal · Jan 22, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.02%Wt 0.01
Marcus Smart
Assist · Nov 12, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.02%Wt 0.01
James Wiseman
Dunk · Mar 11, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.84%Wt 0.008
Jock Landale
Layup · Mar 22, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.11
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.81%Wt 0.008
Kevon Looney
Layup · Dec 14, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.95%Wt 0.019
Klay Thompson
Assist · Jan 26, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.07%Wt 0.011
Andrew Wiggins
Dunk · Oct 27, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.45%Wt 0.015
Juan Toscano-Anderson
Dunk · Nov 25, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.31%Wt 0.013
Jordan Poole
Layup · Oct 20, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.28%Wt 0.013
Nemanja Bjelica
Assist · Oct 20, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.28%Wt 0.013
Dalano Banton
Dunk · Mar 27, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.90%Wt 0.009
Draymond Green
Dunk · Nov 6, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.39%Wt 0.014
