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NBA Top Shot · Pack #823
Quick Rip For The Win: December Web
Common
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$6.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.82 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $6.00
Typical Pull
$0.44
Grail premium $0.38 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $6.00
FMV coverage
100%
27 editions
Depletion
96%
live pool
Packs remaining
140
of 3,993 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 21h ago3.5%unopened
Rare16 / 397 (4.0%)
Common548 / 15,575 (3.5%)
Pull odds by tier
per pack · as of 21h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 16 / 397 | 2.8% | — |
| Common | 548 / 15,575 | 97% | — |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 27 of 27 (100%)Karl-Anthony Towns
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$7.79
Floor
$5.00
Mint 699
Hit 1.22%Wt 0.021
Klay Thompson
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$6.67
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.81%Wt 0.014
Keyonte George
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$6.04
Floor
$5.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.41%Wt 0.007
Alex Caruso
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$5.47
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.81%Wt 0.014
Keldon Johnson
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$4.50
Floor
$5.00
Mint 699
Hit 2.03%Wt 0.036
Jusuf Nurkić
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$4.17
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 1.63%Wt 0.029
Toumani Camara
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.45
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.22%Wt 0.021
Cam Whitmore
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.28
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.81%Wt 0.014
Trayce Jackson-Davis
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.21
Floor
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.81%Wt 0.014
Nick Smith Jr.
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.00
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.81%Wt 0.014
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.72
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.66%Wt 0.064
Mouhamed Gueye
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.72
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.81%Wt 0.014
Vasilije Micić
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.68
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.22%Wt 0.021
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.67
Floor
$0.50
Mint 8,500
Hit 7.32%Wt 0.129
Sasha Vezenkov
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.64
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.81%Wt 0.014
Andre Jackson Jr.
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.58
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.81%Wt 0.014
Jalen Pickett
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.56
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.81%Wt 0.014
Dariq Whitehead
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.49
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 15.85%Wt 0.279
Moritz Wagner
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.49
Floor
$0.40
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.91%Wt 0.121
Alec Burks
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.47
Floor
$0.27
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.22%Wt 0.021
Ben Simmons
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.49
Mint 8,000
Hit 16.26%Wt 0.286
Jalen Brunson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.41
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 8.13%Wt 0.143
Bismack Biyombo
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 11.79%Wt 0.207
OG Anunoby
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,000
Hit 12.60%Wt 0.221