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NBA Top Shot · Pack #824
Quick Rip For The Win: December App
Common
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$20.99
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.70 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $20.99
Typical Pull
$0.44
Grail premium $0.26 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $20.99
FMV coverage
100%
24 editions
Depletion
96%
live pool
Packs remaining
39
of 992 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 20h ago3.9%unopened
Rare4 / 99 (4.0%)
Common152 / 3,869 (3.9%)
Pull odds by tier
per pack · as of 20h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 4 / 99 | 2.6% | — |
| Common | 152 / 3,869 | 97% | — |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 24 of 24 (100%)Klay Thompson
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$6.67
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.051
Keyonte George
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$6.04
Floor
$5.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.026
Alex Caruso
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$5.47
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.026
Jusuf Nurkić
For the Win
RARE6
FMV
$4.17
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.026
Cam Whitmore
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.28
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.026
Nick Smith Jr.
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.00
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.026
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.72
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.077
Mouhamed Gueye
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.72
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.026
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.67
Floor
$0.50
Mint 8,500
Hit 7.07%Wt 0.179
Sasha Vezenkov
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.64
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.026
Kobe Brown
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.62
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.026
Andre Jackson Jr.
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.58
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.02%Wt 0.051
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.56
Floor
$0.28
Mint 8,500
Hit 6.06%Wt 0.154
Al Horford
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.51
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 8.08%Wt 0.205
Dariq Whitehead
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.49
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 10.10%Wt 0.256
Moritz Wagner
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.49
Floor
$0.40
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.05%Wt 0.128
Alec Burks
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.47
Floor
$0.27
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.026
Ben Simmons
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.44
Floor
$0.49
Mint 8,000
Hit 13.13%Wt 0.333
Jalen Brunson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.41
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,500
Hit 5.05%Wt 0.128
Coby White
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.077
Bismack Biyombo
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.36
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.06%Wt 0.154
Cedi Osman
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.29
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.06%Wt 0.154
OG Anunoby
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.27
Floor
$0.26
Mint 8,000
Hit 10.10%Wt 0.256
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.04%Wt 0.103