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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8261
NBA Stars: The National Exclusive Chase Pack
Common2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$12.00
Actual EV
$4.92
Net −$7.08 vs ask · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
Typical Pull
$1.58
Grail premium $3.34 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
0.41x
-59.0% margin · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
FMV coverage
100%
15 editions
Depletion
88%
pool · as of 24d ago
Packs remaining
31
of 265 minted · as of 24d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 24d ago12%unopened
Rare5 / 48 (10%)
Common37 / 482 (7.7%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 24d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 5 / 48 | 12% | ~1 in 4 |
| Common | 37 / 482 | 88% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 15 of 15 (100%)Damian Lillard
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$11.33
Floor
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.032
Kawhi Leonard
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$11.13
Floor
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.032
Damon Stoudamire
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$6.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.032
DeMar DeRozan
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$5.61
Floor
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.032
Andrea Bargnani
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$5.54
Floor
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.032
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON5
FMV
$1.76
Floor
$1.00
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.032
LeBron James
Hoop Vision
COMMON7
FMV
$1.01
Floor
$0.98
Mint 2,500
Hit 12.00%Wt 0.097
Anthony Edwards
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMON7
FMV
$0.80
Floor
$0.36
Mint 2,025
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.032
Jalen Brunson
Hoop Vision
COMMON7
FMV
$0.66
Floor
$0.22
Mint 2,500
Hit 12.00%Wt 0.097
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON4
FMV
$0.65
Floor
$0.34
Mint 60,000
Hit 16.00%Wt 0.129
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.63
Floor
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.032
Jalen Brunson
Crunch Time
COMMON7
FMV
$0.49
Floor
$0.22
Mint 2,500
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.032
Anthony Edwards
Crunch Time
COMMON7
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 16.00%Wt 0.129
Jalen Brunson
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.33
Floor
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.032
Jalen Brunson
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 4.00%Wt 0.032