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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8261
NBA Stars: The National Exclusive Chase Pack
Common2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$9.95
Actual EV
$2.71
Net −$7.24 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 88% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $9.95 ask
Typical Pull
$0.72
Grail premium $1.99 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
0.27x
-72.8% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 88% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $9.95 ask
FMV coverage
100%
24 editions
Depletion
92%
pool · as of 21h ago
Packs remaining
21
of 265 minted · as of 21h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 21h ago7.9%unopened
Rare5 / 48 (10%)
24 per 100 sealed packs · launch 18 · 1.3× launch rate
Common37 / 482 (7.7%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 21h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 5 / 48 | 12% | ~1 in 4 |
| Common | 37 / 482 | 88% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 24 of 24 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Damian Lillard
Layup · Oct 31, 2012
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.024
Kawhi Leonard
Dunk · Mar 16, 2012
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.024
DeMar DeRozan
Dunk · Dec 19, 2009
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.99
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.024
Andrea Bargnani
Dunk · Feb 5, 2007
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.024
Damon Stoudamire
Handles · Mar 27, 1996
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.024
LeBron James
Assist · Dec 19, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.024
LeBron James
Assist · Mar 28, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.99
Recent Low
$0.74
Mint 2,500
Hit 7.14%Wt 0.071
LeBron James
Dunk · Jan 20, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.86
Recent Low
$0.70
Mint 60,000
Hit 9.52%Wt 0.095
LeBron James
Layup · Oct 27, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.79
Recent Low
$0.60
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.024
Anthony Edwards
Dunk · May 10, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.73
Recent Low
$0.45
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.024
Jalen Brunson
Assist · Mar 2, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 2,500
Hit 7.14%Wt 0.071
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Assist · Jan 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.32
Recent Low
$0.26
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.024
Anthony Edwards
3 Pointer · Dec 28, 2024
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 2,500
Hit 9.52%Wt 0.095
Tyrese Haliburton
Assist · Jan 4, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 7.14%Wt 0.071
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · Feb 27, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.024
Tyrese Haliburton
Assist · Nov 5, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 9.52%Wt 0.095
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · Jan 23, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 40,000
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.024
Anthony Edwards
3 Pointer · Dec 16, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.024
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Block · Jan 25, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 35,000
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.024
Tyrese Haliburton
Handles · Feb 14, 2023
Spotlight Series
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 5,555
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.024
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Dunk · Oct 28, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.024
Jayson Tatum
Handles · Nov 1, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 7.14%Wt 0.071
Giannis Antetokounmpo
3 Pointer · Nov 14, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.76%Wt 0.048
Jalen Brunson
Layup · Nov 3, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.024