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NBA Top Shot · Pack #840

Stress Test Rip

Common

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$6.75] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$0.57

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.14

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

⚠ 50% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Moses Moody · Base Set	COMMON	5.00%	$1.84	20.8%
LeBron James · Base Set	COMMON	7.50%	$0.75	12.7%
Steph Curry · Base Set	COMMON	10.00%	$0.45	10.2%
Lonzo Ball · Base Set	COMMON	10.00%	$0.34	7.7%
Anthony Edwards · Base Set	COMMON	10.00%	$0.32	7.2%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$6.75

Actual EV

—

≈ — ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $6.75

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $6.75

FMV coverage

—

0 editions

Depletion

95%

live pool

Packs remaining

140

of 2,985 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 5h ago

4.7%unopened

140 / 2,985 packs

Common281 / 5,971 (4.7%)

Pull odds by tier

per pack · as of 5h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Common	281 / 5,971	100%	—

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 10 of 0

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Steph Curry	Base Set	COMMON	10.00%	$0.45	—
Anthony Edwards	Base Set	COMMON	10.00%	$0.32	—
Zach LaVine	Base Set	COMMON	10.00%	$0.31	—
Deandre Ayton	Base Set	COMMON	10.00%	$0.25	—
Lonzo Ball	Base Set	COMMON	10.00%	$0.34	—
Jayson Tatum	Base Set	COMMON	7.50%	$0.29	—
Terry Rozier	Base Set	COMMON	7.50%	$0.25	—
Darius Garland	Base Set	COMMON	7.50%	$0.31	—
LeBron James	Base Set	COMMON	7.50%	$0.75	—
Moses Moody	Base Set	COMMON	5.00%	$1.84	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 5:37:24 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.