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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8415

Top Shot This Playoffs Edition: Bronny James

Name: Top Shot This Playoffs Edition: Bronny James
Brand: NBA Top Shot
Price: 10 USD

Fandom

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Value still sealed≈ $8.63/pack▼ 14% below the $9.99 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 83% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $9.99 askTypical pull ≈ $1.00 · grail premium $7.63 (lottery-shaped)

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$9.99] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

1,026

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

1,026

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$5,139

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$5.01

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

197

still unopened

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Bronny James · Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	1.52%	$428	75.4%
Bronny James · Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	86.29%	$1.00	10.0%
Bronny James · Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	1.52%	$43.00

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $10.95 (90d)Last $10.95 · 3mo agoRetail $9.99213 sales · 1 in 90d

trades ~1.10× retail

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$9.99

Actual EV

$8.63

Net −$1.36 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 83% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $9.99 ask

Typical Pull

$1.00

Grail premium $7.63 — lottery-shaped

Value ratio

0.86x

-13.6% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 83% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $9.99 ask

FMV coverage

100%

6 editions

Depletion

84%

pool · as of 1d ago

Packs remaining

197

of 1,223 minted · as of 1d ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 1d ago

16%unopened

197 / 1,223 packs

Fandom197 / 1,223 (16%)

Pull odds by tier

per pack · as of 1d ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Fandom	197 / 1,223	100%	—

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

FandomHit 1.52%

Bronny James

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$428

FandomHit 1.52%

Bronny James

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$43.00

FandomHit 0.51%

Bronny James

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$18.70

FandomHit 7.61%

Bronny James

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$5.00

FandomHit 2.54%

Bronny James

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$5.00

What's Inside

FMV priced 6 of 6 (100%)

Bronny James

Layup · Apr 25, 2026

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

FANDOMSeries 2025-26Galactic

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

FANDOMSeries 2025-26Hexwave

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

FANDOMSeries 2025-26Jukebox

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

FANDOMSeries 2025-26Blockchain

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

FANDOMSeries 2025-26Hardcourt

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

Top purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@Maxicookie	$25.00	189d ago
@Maxicookie	$21.00	189d ago
@Maxicookie	$20.00	189d ago
@CoachJake	$19.00	189d ago
@Maxicookie	$18.00	189d ago
@MikeMegatron	$17.00	189d ago
@Brand0c0mmand03	$15.00	189d ago
@Brand0c0mmand03	$14.00	189d ago
@MikeMegatron	$14.00	189d ago
@Rewind2001	$13.00	189d ago

Recent purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@Visualrenegade	$10.95	86d ago
@WickedSwami	$12.00	141d ago
@WickedSwami	$12.00	141d ago
@WickedSwami	$11.00

Top pulls by EV

top 6 of 6

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Bronny James	Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	0.42%	$1.00	—
Bronny James	Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	0.04%	$5.00	—