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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8415

Top Shot This Playoffs Edition: Bronny James

Fandom

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Value still sealed≈ $2.86/pack▼ 74% below the $10.95 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (83% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $10.95Typical pull ≈ $2.86 · value evenly spread

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$10.95] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

1,020

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

1,020

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$1,864

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$1.83

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Bronny James · Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	100.00%	$2.52	100.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $9.50 (90d)Last $12.00 · 2mo agoRetail $10.95212 sales · 50 in 90d

trades ~0.87× retail

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$10.95

Actual EV

$2.86

Net −$8.09 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (83% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $10.95

Typical Pull

$2.86

Median pull ≈ Actual EV — value evenly spread

Value ratio

0.26x

-73.9% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (83% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $10.95

FMV coverage

100%

1 editions

Depletion

83%

live pool

Packs remaining

204

of 1,223 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 2m ago

17%unopened

204 / 1,223 packs

Fandom202 / 1,223 (17%)

Pull odds by tier

per pack · as of 2m ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Fandom	202 / 1,223	100%	—

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

FandomHit 100.00%

Bronny James

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$2.52

What's Inside

FMV priced 1 of 1 (100%)

Bronny James

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

Top purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@Maxicookie	$25.00	97d ago
@Maxicookie	$21.00	97d ago
@Maxicookie	$20.00	97d ago
@CoachJake	$19.00	97d ago
@Maxicookie	$18.00	96d ago
@MikeMegatron	$17.00	96d ago
@Brand0c0mmand03	$15.00	97d ago
@Brand0c0mmand03	$14.00	97d ago
@MikeMegatron	$14.00	97d ago
@Rewind2001	$13.00	97d ago

Recent purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@WickedSwami	$12.00	48d ago
@WickedSwami	$12.00	48d ago
@WickedSwami	$11.00	48d ago
@WickedSwami	$11.00

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of 1

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Bronny James	Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	0.49%	$2.52	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 12:13:19 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.