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NBA Top Shot · Pack #843
Video Game Numbers: December Pre-Sale
Rare5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$49.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $17.86 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $49.00
Typical Pull
$4.90
Grail premium $12.96 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $49.00
FMV coverage
100%
13 editions
Depletion
94%
live pool
Packs remaining
71
of 1,114 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 16h ago6.4%unopened
Rare71 / 1,114 (6.4%)
Common284 / 4,456 (6.4%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 16h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 71 / 1,114 | 20% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 284 / 4,456 | 80% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 13 of 13 (100%)Bam Adebayo
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$9.86
Floor
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 6.15%Wt 0.155
Tyrese Haliburton
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$8.75
Floor
$7.00
Mint 499
Hit 6.15%Wt 0.155
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$7.75
Floor
$7.00
Mint 499
Hit 6.70%Wt 0.169
Mikal Bridges
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$7.38
Floor
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 11.73%Wt 0.296
Joel Embiid
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$5.80
Floor
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 8.94%Wt 0.225
Toumani Camara
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.45
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.014
Cason Wallace
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$1.23
Floor
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.56%Wt 0.014
Taylor Hendricks
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.98
Floor
$0.35
Mint 4,000
Hit 29.05%Wt 0.732
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.72
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.79%Wt 0.07
Goga Bitadze
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.57
Floor
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 10.61%Wt 0.268
Dariq Whitehead
Rookie Debut
COMMON6
FMV
$0.47
Floor
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 6.15%Wt 0.155
Coby White
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.12%Wt 0.028
DeMar DeRozan
Base Set
COMMON6
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.23
Mint 8,500
Hit 9.50%Wt 0.239