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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8434

Top Shot This Playoffs Edition: James Harden

Fandom1 slot

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Value still sealed≈ $4.03/pack▼ 49% below the $7.88 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (89% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $7.88Typical pull ≈ $4.03 · value evenly spread

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$7.88] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

697

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

697

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$814

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$1.17

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

⚠ 100% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
James Harden · Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	100.00%	$4.03	100.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $10.00 (90d)Last $9.00 · 2mo agoRetail $7.88205 sales · 205 in 90d

trades 1.27× retail — secondary premium

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$7.88

Actual EV

$4.03

Net −$3.85 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (89% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $7.88

Typical Pull

$4.03

Median pull ≈ Actual EV — value evenly spread

Value ratio

0.51x

-48.9% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (89% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $7.88

FMV coverage

100%

1 editions

Depletion

89%

live pool

Packs remaining

of 857 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 7h ago

11%unopened

92 / 857 packs

Fandom87 / 857 (10%)

Pull odds by tier

1 slots/pack · as of 7h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Fandom	87 / 857	100%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

FandomHit 100.00%

James Harden

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$4.03

What's Inside

FMV priced 1 of 1 (100%)

James Harden

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

Top purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@buydippp	$11.00	84d ago
@buydippp	$11.00	84d ago
@buydippp	$11.00	84d ago
@buydippp	$11.00	84d ago
@Mybitcoin24	$11.00	84d ago
@Jzama6	$11.00	85d ago
@ReddieMiller31	$11.00	85d ago
@ReddieMiller31	$11.00	85d ago
@ReddieMiller31	$11.00	85d ago
@ReddieMiller31	$11.00	85d ago

Recent purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@bergzh	$9.00	55d ago
@bergzh	$9.00	55d ago
@bergzh	$10.00	63d ago
@NolaTom	$10.00	63d ago

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of 1

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
James Harden	Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	1.03%	$4.03	$0.04

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 7:37:57 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.