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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8434
Top Shot This Playoffs Edition: James Harden
Fandom1 slot
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$4.50
Actual EV
$5.09
Net +$0.59 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 89% drawn) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.50
Typical Pull
$2.50
Grail premium $2.59 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
1.13x
13.1% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 89% drawn) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $4.50
FMV coverage
100%
5 editions
Depletion
90%
pool · as of 18h ago
Packs remaining
85
of 857 minted · as of 18h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 18h ago9.9%unopened
Fandom85 / 857 (9.9%)
Pull odds by tier
1 slots/pack · as of 18h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fandom | 85 / 857 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packFandomHit 1.18%
James Harden
Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition
$54.00
FandomHit 5.88%
James Harden
Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition
$25.20
FandomHit 8.24%
James Harden
Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition
$9.90
FandomHit 8.24%
James Harden
Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition
$3.00
FandomHit 76.47%
James Harden
Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition
$2.50
What's Inside
FMV priced 5 of 5 (100%)James Harden
3 Pointer · May 9, 2026
Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition
FANDOMSeries 2025-26Jukebox
FMV
$54.00
Recent Low
$60.00
Mint 10
Hit 1.18%Wt 0.012
James Harden
3 Pointer · May 9, 2026
Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition
FANDOMSeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$25.20
Recent Low
$28.00
Mint 25
Hit 5.88%Wt 0.059
James Harden
3 Pointer · May 9, 2026
Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition
FANDOMSeries 2025-26Hardcourt
FMV
$9.90
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 50
Hit 8.24%Wt 0.082
James Harden
3 Pointer · May 9, 2026
Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition
FANDOMSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.75
Mint 99
Hit 8.24%Wt 0.082
James Harden
3 Pointer · May 9, 2026
Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition
FANDOMSeries 2025-26
FMV
$2.50
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 667
Hit 76.47%Wt 0.765
