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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8441

Top Shot This Playoffs Edition: Chet Holmgren

Name: Top Shot This Playoffs Edition: Chet Holmgren
Brand: NBA Top Shot
Price: 10 USD

Fandom

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$8.99] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

791

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

791

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$4,371

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$5.75

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Chet Holmgren · Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	1.92%	$135	33.0%
Chet Holmgren · Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	76.92%	$2.60	25.5%
Chet Holmgren · Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	1.92%	$85.00

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $11.00 · 5mo agoRetail $8.99165 sales

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$8.99

Actual EV

—

≈ $7.86 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 93% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $8.99 ask

Typical Pull

$2.60

Grail premium $5.26 — lottery-shaped

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 93% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $8.99 ask

FMV coverage

100%

6 editions

Depletion

94%

pool · as of 1d ago

Packs remaining

of 843 minted · as of 1d ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 1d ago

6.2%unopened

52 / 843 packs

Fandom52 / 843 (6.2%)

Pull odds by tier

per pack · as of 1d ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Fandom	52 / 843	100%	—

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

FandomHit 1.92%

Chet Holmgren

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$135

FandomHit 1.92%

Chet Holmgren

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$85.00

FandomHit 3.85%

Chet Holmgren

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$22.28

FandomHit 5.77%

Chet Holmgren

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$5.00

FandomHit 9.62%

Chet Holmgren

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$5.00

What's Inside

FMV priced 6 of 6 (100%)

Chet Holmgren

Dunk · May 12, 2026

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

FANDOMSeries 2025-26Galactic

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

FANDOMSeries 2025-26Jukebox

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

FANDOMSeries 2025-26Hexwave

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

FANDOMSeries 2025-26Blockchain

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

FANDOMSeries 2025-26Hardcourt

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

Top purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@Lions_For_Breakfast	$15.00	154d ago
@red_dragon23	$12.00	145d ago
@bergzh	$12.00	148d ago
@buydippp	$12.00	150d ago
@Lions_For_Breakfast	$12.00	154d ago
@Lions_For_Breakfast	$12.00	154d ago
@Lions_For_Breakfast	$12.00	154d ago
@RUBENDARIO1983	$11.00	136d ago
@Lions_For_Breakfast	$11.00	154d ago
@Lions_For_Breakfast	$11.00	154d ago

Recent purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@RUBENDARIO1983	$11.00	136d ago
@red_dragon23	$12.00	145d ago
@bergzh	$12.00	148d ago
@buydippp	$12.00

Top pulls by EV

top 6 of 6

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Chet Holmgren	Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	1.37%	$2.60	—
Chet Holmgren	Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	0.17%	$5.00	—