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Home › NBA Top Shot › Top Shot This Playoffs Edition: Keldon Johnson NBA Top Shot · Pack #8442
Top Shot This Playoffs Edition: Keldon Johnson Fandom 1 slot
Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$3.49] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value. Pack price
Primary SOLD OUT
Secondary $3.49
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.26 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 90% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.49 ask
Typical Pull
$1.00
Grail premium $0.26 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 90% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.49 ask
FMV coverage
100%
3 editions
Depletion
91%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
64
of 750 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining pool · as of 2d ago
Pull odds by tier 1 slots/pack · as of 2d ago Tier Remaining % of pool Odds / pack Fandom 64 / 750 100% ~every pack
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside FMV priced 3 of 3 (100%) 💬 Observed pack lifecycle Packs opened
686
attributed rips · sample
Moments pulled
686
from opened packs
Realized pull value
$4,264
total, priced pulls
Avg / pack
$6.63
per pack we could price
Sealed (observed)
64
still unopened
What drives the remaining EV Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.
Edition Tier Pull % FMV EV share Keldon Johnson · Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition FANDOM 81.25% $1.00 64.7% Keldon Johnson · Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition FANDOM 17.19% $2.50 34.2% Keldon Johnson · Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition FANDOM 1.56% $0.85
EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.
Sealed pack resale Median $2.80 (90d) Last $3.00 · 28d ago Retail $3.49 118 sales · 4 in 90d
trades 0.80× retail — secondary discount
Sales History secondary pack sales Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.
Top pulls by EV top 3 of 3 Player Set Tier Drop % FMV Edition EV Keldon Johnson Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition FANDOM 1.11% $1.00 $0.01 Keldon Johnson Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition FANDOM 0.24% $2.50 $0.01
Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition
Edition EV = FMV × (its share of the pool's drop weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Computed Nov 5, 2026, 7:25 PM PT.
