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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8450
2026 NBA Playoffs Standard Pack
Rare5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$18.80
Actual EV
—
≈ $12.94 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 91% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $18.80 ask
Typical Pull
$1.25
Grail premium $11.69 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 91% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $18.80 ask
FMV coverage
100%
280 editions
Depletion
91%
pool · as of 2h ago
Packs remaining
370
of 4,000 minted · as of 2h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2h ago9.3%unopened
Ultimate0 / 5 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.13
Legendary6 / 52 (12%)
1.6 per 100 sealed packs · launch 1.3 · 1.2× launch rate
Rare364 / 3,943 (9.2%)
98 per 100 sealed packs · launch 99 · ≈ launch rate
Common1,480 / 16,000 (9.3%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 2h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 5 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 6 / 52 | 0.3% | ~1 in 62 |
| Rare | 364 / 3,943 | 20% | ~1 in 2 |
| Common | 1,480 / 16,000 | 80% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 280 of 280 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Victor Wembanyama
Dunk · Mar 25, 2026
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2025-26Jukebox
FMV
$284
Recent Low
$316
Mint 10
Hit 0.05%Wt 0.001
Dirk Nowitzki
Layup · Jun 2, 2011
Run It Back: Playoff Classics
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$145
Recent Low
$370
Mint 44
Hit 0.05%Wt 0.001
Malik Rose
Dunk · Jun 8, 2003
Run It Back: Playoff Classics
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$99.00
Recent Low
$140
Mint 44
Hit 0.05%Wt 0.001
Grant Hill
Dunk · Apr 27, 1997
Run It Back: Playoff Classics
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$95.00
Recent Low
$195
Mint 44
Hit 0.05%Wt 0.001
Tyrese Maxey
Layup · Jan 30, 2026
For The Win
RARESeries 2025-26Jukebox
FMV
$89.10
Recent Low
$99.00
Mint 10
Hit 0.05%Wt 0.001
Ralph Sampson
Floater · May 21, 1986
Run It Back: Playoff Classics
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$87.00
Recent Low
$58.00
Mint 44
Hit 0.11%Wt 0.001
Luke Kennard
3 Pointer · Mar 21, 2026
For The Win
RARESeries 2025-26Jukebox
FMV
$85.50
Recent Low
$95.00
Mint 10
Hit 0.05%Wt 0.001
Brandon Miller
Dunk · Dec 19, 2025
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2025-26Jukebox
FMV
$62.10
Recent Low
$69.00
Mint 10
Hit 0.05%Wt 0.001
LeBron James
3 Pointer · Apr 25, 2026
2026 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 2025-26Hardcourt
FMV
$60.30
Recent Low
$67.00
Mint 50
Hit 0.05%Wt 0.001
Larry Johnson
3 Pointer · Jun 5, 1999
Run It Back: Playoff Classics
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$52.50
Recent Low
$70.00
Mint 44
Hit 0.05%Wt 0.001
Pelle Larsson
Dunk · Mar 22, 2026
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2025-26Jukebox
FMV
$45.00
Recent Low
$45.00
Mint 10
Hit 0.11%Wt 0.001
Victor Wembanyama
Dunk · Mar 25, 2026
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$37.49
Recent Low
$21.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
Zion Williamson
Dunk · Oct 25, 2025
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$30.60
Recent Low
$34.00
Mint 25
Hit 0.11%Wt 0.001
Scottie Barnes
Dunk · Jan 11, 2026
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$26.99
Recent Low
$29.99
Mint 25
Hit 0.11%Wt 0.001
Victor Wembanyama
Block · Apr 29, 2026
2026 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$13.90
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.22%Wt 0.002
Keyonte George
Floater · Dec 27, 2025
For The Win
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.006
Jalen Johnson
Dunk · Apr 6, 2026
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$5.99
Mint 249
Hit 0.49%Wt 0.005
Tyrese Maxey
Layup · Jan 30, 2026
For The Win
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$7.50
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Brandon Miller
Dunk · Dec 19, 2025
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$7.49
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.54%Wt 0.005
LaMelo Ball
Layup · Apr 14, 2026
For The Win
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$7.49
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Dunk · Jan 3, 2026
For The Win
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.49%Wt 0.005
Nae'Qwan Tomlin
Dunk · Jan 17, 2026
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$5.82
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.006
Scottie Barnes
Dunk · Jan 11, 2026
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.70%Wt 0.007
Day'Ron Sharpe
Dunk · Feb 10, 2026
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$4.75
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.006
