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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8453

Top Shot This Playoffs Edition: Donovan Mitchell

Name: Top Shot This Playoffs Edition: Donovan Mitchell
Brand: NBA Top Shot
Price: 10 USD

Fandom

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$10.99] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

575

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

575

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$8,395

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$14.60

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Donovan Mitchell · Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	67.31%	$4.00	37.8%
Donovan Mitchell · Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	1.92%	$76.50	20.7%
Donovan Mitchell · Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	7.69%	$17.78

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $7.50 (90d)Last $7.49 · 2mo agoRetail $10.99250 sales · 6 in 90d

trades 0.68× retail — secondary discount

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$10.99

Actual EV

—

≈ $7.12 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 92% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.99 ask

Typical Pull

$4.00

Grail premium $3.12 — lottery-shaped

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 92% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.99 ask

FMV coverage

100%

5 editions

Depletion

92%

pool · as of 2d ago

Packs remaining

of 627 minted · as of 2d ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 2d ago

8.3%unopened

52 / 627 packs

Fandom52 / 627 (8.3%)

Pull odds by tier

per pack · as of 2d ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Fandom	52 / 627	100%	—

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

FandomHit 1.92%

Donovan Mitchell

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$76.50

FandomHit 3.85%

Donovan Mitchell

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$20.00

FandomHit 7.69%

Donovan Mitchell

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$17.78

FandomHit 19.23%

Donovan Mitchell

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$4.25

FandomHit 67.31%

Donovan Mitchell

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$4.00

What's Inside

FMV priced 5 of 5 (100%)

Donovan Mitchell

3 Pointer · May 18, 2026

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

FANDOMSeries 2025-26Jukebox

3 Pointer · May 18, 2026

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

FANDOMSeries 2025-26Hardcourt

3 Pointer · May 18, 2026

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

FANDOMSeries 2025-26Hexwave

3 Pointer · May 18, 2026

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

FANDOMSeries 2025-26Blockchain

3 Pointer · May 18, 2026

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

Top purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@Potter6	$34.00	132d ago
@knowing_wolverine7630	$34.00	137d ago
@Rigged	$33.00	145d ago
@Rigged	$32.00	139d ago
@wemby	$32.00	146d ago
@Lions_For_Breakfast	$32.00	147d ago
@Lions_For_Breakfast	$32.00	147d ago
@Lions_For_Breakfast	$32.00	147d ago
@Rigged	$31.00	139d ago
@Lions_For_Breakfast	$31.00	147d ago

Recent purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@anotherdamnnutcase	$7.49	67d ago
@crosova	$7.50	70d ago
@crosova	$7.50	70d ago
@crosova	$7.50

Top pulls by EV

top 5 of 5

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Donovan Mitchell	Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	67.31%	$4.00	—
Donovan Mitchell	Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	19.23%	$4.25	—