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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8453

Top Shot This Playoffs Edition: Donovan Mitchell

Fandom

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Value still sealed≈ $9.97/pack▲ 12% above the $8.90 secondary ask· EV inflated by survivor bias (88% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $8.90Typical pull ≈ $9.97 · value evenly spread

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$8.90] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

570

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

570

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$13,201

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$23.16

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

⚠ 100% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Donovan Mitchell · Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	100.00%	$9.97	100.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $24.00 (90d)Last $10.00 · 11d agoRetail $8.90244 sales · 244 in 90d

trades 2.70× retail — secondary premium

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$8.90

Actual EV

$9.97

Net +$1.07 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (88% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $8.90

Typical Pull

$9.97

Median pull ≈ Actual EV — value evenly spread

Value ratio

1.12x

12.0% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (88% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $8.90

FMV coverage

100%

1 editions

Depletion

88%

live pool

Packs remaining

of 627 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 18h ago

12%unopened

73 / 627 packs

Fandom56 / 627 (8.9%)

Pull odds by tier

per pack · as of 18h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Fandom	56 / 627	100%	—

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

FandomHit 100.00%

Donovan Mitchell

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$9.97

What's Inside

FMV priced 1 of 1 (100%)

Donovan Mitchell

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

Top purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@Potter6	$34.00	40d ago
@knowing_wolverine7630	$34.00	45d ago
@Rigged	$33.00	53d ago
@Rigged	$32.00	47d ago
@wemby	$32.00	54d ago
@Lions_For_Breakfast	$32.00	54d ago
@Lions_For_Breakfast	$32.00	55d ago
@Lions_For_Breakfast	$32.00	55d ago
@Rigged	$31.00	47d ago
@Lions_For_Breakfast	$31.00	55d ago

Recent purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@bird_man2220	$10.00	9d ago
@bergzh	$10.00	11d ago
@Potter6	$34.00	40d ago
@knowing_wolverine7630	$34.00

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of 1

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Donovan Mitchell	Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	1.05%	$9.97	—

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 9:49:42 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.