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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8454
Top Shot This Playoffs Edition: Victor Wembanyama (WCF)
Fandom
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$19.99
Actual EV
$5.79
Net −$14.20 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 79% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $19.99 ask
Typical Pull
$2.89
Grail premium $2.90 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
0.29x
-71.0% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 79% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $19.99 ask
FMV coverage
100%
6 editions
Depletion
79%
pool · as of 7h ago
Packs remaining
466
of 2,224 minted · as of 7h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 7h ago21%unopened
Fandom466 / 2,224 (21%)
Pull odds by tier
per pack · as of 7h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fandom | 466 / 2,224 | 100% | — |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
FandomHit 0.21%
Victor Wembanyama
Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition
$500
FandomHit 0.21%
Victor Wembanyama
Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition
$320
FandomHit 0.21%
Victor Wembanyama
Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition
$80.10
FandomHit 4.08%
Victor Wembanyama
Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition
$18.99
FandomHit 3.00%
Victor Wembanyama
Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition
$14.00
What's Inside
FMV priced 6 of 6 (100%)Victor Wembanyama
Reel · May 19, 2026
Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition
FANDOMSeries 2025-26Galactic
FMV
$500
Recent Low
$300
Mint 5
Hit 0.21%Wt 0.002
Victor Wembanyama
Reel · May 19, 2026
Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition
FANDOMSeries 2025-26Jukebox
FMV
$320
Recent Low
$356
Mint 10
Hit 0.21%Wt 0.002
Victor Wembanyama
Reel · May 19, 2026
Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition
FANDOMSeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$80.10
Recent Low
$89.00
Mint 25
Hit 0.21%Wt 0.002
Victor Wembanyama
Reel · May 19, 2026
Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition
FANDOMSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$18.99
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 99
Hit 4.08%Wt 0.041
Victor Wembanyama
Reel · May 19, 2026
Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition
FANDOMSeries 2025-26Hardcourt
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
—
Mint 50
Hit 3.00%Wt 0.03
Victor Wembanyama
Reel · May 19, 2026
Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition
FANDOMSeries 2025-26
FMV
$2.89
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,034
Hit 92.27%Wt 0.923