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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8515

Top Shot This Playoffs Edition: Jared McCain

Name: Top Shot This Playoffs Edition: Jared McCain
Brand: NBA Top Shot
Price: 10 USD

Fandom

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$14.99] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

561

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

561

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$6,230

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$11.11

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Jared McCain · Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	3.57%	$176	51.9%
Jared McCain · Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	58.93%	$5.00	24.4%
Jared McCain · Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	5.36%	$26.10

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Last $15.00 · 5mo agoRetail $14.99171 sales

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$14.99

Actual EV

—

≈ $12.09 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 91% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $14.99 ask

Typical Pull

$5.00

Grail premium $7.09 — lottery-shaped

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 91% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $14.99 ask

FMV coverage

100%

5 editions

Depletion

91%

pool · as of 2h ago

Packs remaining

of 617 minted · as of 2h ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 2h ago

9.1%unopened

56 / 617 packs

Fandom56 / 617 (9.1%)

Pull odds by tier

per pack · as of 2h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Fandom	56 / 617	100%	—

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

FandomHit 3.57%

Jared McCain

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$176

FandomHit 5.36%

Jared McCain

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$26.10

FandomHit 8.93%

Jared McCain

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$11.30

FandomHit 58.93%

Jared McCain

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$5.00

FandomHit 23.21%

Jared McCain

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$2.00

What's Inside

FMV priced 5 of 5 (100%)

Jared McCain

3 Pointer · May 21, 2026

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

FANDOMSeries 2025-26Galactic

3 Pointer · May 21, 2026

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

FANDOMSeries 2025-26Hexwave

3 Pointer · May 21, 2026

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

FANDOMSeries 2025-26Hardcourt

3 Pointer · May 21, 2026

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

3 Pointer · May 21, 2026

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

FANDOMSeries 2025-26Blockchain

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

Top purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@Powderkoteplus	$32.00	166d ago
@self_assured_sea_horse4973	$31.00	166d ago
@Powderkoteplus	$31.00	166d ago
@Powderkoteplus	$30.00	166d ago
@Saber_Toothed_Mantis	$30.00	166d ago
@gkbryant24	$30.00	166d ago
@self_assured_sea_horse4973	$29.00	166d ago
@Saber_Toothed_Mantis	$29.00	166d ago
@gkbryant24	$29.00	166d ago
@gkbryant24	$27.00	164d ago

Recent purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@keen_great_dane9225	$15.00	135d ago
@red_dragon23	$21.00	145d ago
@Okiekid09	$22.00	149d ago
@Okiekid09	$21.00

Top pulls by EV

top 5 of 5

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Jared McCain	Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	58.93%	$5.00	—
Jared McCain	Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	23.21%	$2.00	—