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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8517

Top Shot This Playoffs Edition: Stephon Castle

Name: Top Shot This Playoffs Edition: Stephon Castle
Brand: NBA Top Shot
Price: 10 USD

Fandom

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$15.99] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

741

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

741

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$8,869

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$11.98

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Stephon Castle · Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	3.57%	$71.10	51.5%
Stephon Castle · Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	3.57%	$24.30	17.6%
Stephon Castle · Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	19.64%	$3.50

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $15.00 (90d)Last $15.00 · 3mo agoRetail $15.99286 sales · 1 in 90d

trades ~0.94× retail

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$15.99

Actual EV

—

≈ $4.93 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 92% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $15.99 ask

Typical Pull

$1.00

Grail premium $3.93 — lottery-shaped

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 92% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $15.99 ask

FMV coverage

100%

5 editions

Depletion

93%

pool · as of 1d ago

Packs remaining

of 797 minted · as of 1d ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 1d ago

7.0%unopened

56 / 797 packs

Fandom56 / 797 (7.0%)

Pull odds by tier

per pack · as of 1d ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Fandom	56 / 797	100%	—

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

FandomHit 3.57%

Stephon Castle

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$71.10

FandomHit 3.57%

Stephon Castle

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$24.30

FandomHit 19.64%

Stephon Castle

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$3.50

FandomHit 7.14%

Stephon Castle

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$2.50

FandomHit 66.07%

Stephon Castle

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

$1.00

What's Inside

FMV priced 5 of 5 (100%)

Stephon Castle

Dunk · May 25, 2026

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

FANDOMSeries 2025-26Jukebox

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

FANDOMSeries 2025-26Hexwave

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

FANDOMSeries 2025-26Blockchain

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

FANDOMSeries 2025-26Hardcourt

Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

Top purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@leavemealone	$38.00	158d ago
@GG_GG	$38.00	158d ago
@mj23tolbj23	$37.00	158d ago
@gkbryant24	$29.00	158d ago
@gkbryant24	$28.00	158d ago
@gkbryant24	$28.00	158d ago
@gkbryant24	$27.00	157d ago
@gkbryant24	$27.00	157d ago
@gkbryant24	$27.00	158d ago
@Maxicookie	$25.00	157d ago

Recent purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@separate_gila_monster206	$15.00	84d ago
@DroidDoes	$15.00	123d ago
@BigDaddaBear	$17.00	136d ago
@Pichyluro	$19.00

Top pulls by EV

top 5 of 5

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Stephon Castle	Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	1.05%	$1.00	—
Stephon Castle	Top Shot This: Playoffs Edition	FANDOM	0.31%	$3.50	—